Bitcoin price could reach $45,000 due to rising gold price, says JPMorgan
JPMorgan analysts link the $2,000 gold price to a potential $45,000 bitcoin price due to their correlated movement and investor preference.
The current value of gold held for investment outside central banks is around $3 trillion, implying a $45,000 bitcoin price when considering its equivalence in private portfolios.
JPMorgan views the $45,000 bitcoin price as an upper limit, indicating limited growth beyond increased mining costs.
The upcoming Bitcoin halving in April or May 2024 is expected to double production costs to approximately $40,000, as per JPMorgan.
JPMorgan highlights that historical data shows bitcoin's production cost acts as a reliable lower boundary, with bullish trends following previous halving events in 2016 and 2020.
The Bitcoin halving occurs every four years, reducing block mining rewards and maintaining scarcity.
JPMorgan predicts a 25% bitcoin return over the next 12 months, considering the expected halving in 2024.