‘2018 Bitcoin Bear Market was Compressed for Very Specific Reasons’: Leading Trade Analyst

Bitcoin

‘2018 Bitcoin Bear Market was Compressed for Very Specific Reasons’: Leading Trade Analyst

The relentless rise on Bitcoin which started on April 2nd, 2019 has continued for almost a week as Bitcoin maintained its value above $5000. The price of Bitcoin (BTC) at 3: 00 Hours UTC on 8th April 2019 is $5302. It is trading 3.85% higher on the daily scale.

On-Chain Volume of Bitcoin is on the Rise

In a recent tweet, Willy Woo published an analysis conjointly conducted by Murad Mahmudov, David Puell and himself. They have painted a positive outline on Bitcoin after months of bearish calls.

In their analysis, ‘On-chain’ Daily Volume on Bitcoin was compared with the bear flags in the past. According to their findings, the bottom on Bitcoin price has been formed, and it has entered an accumulation phase.

The ‘On-Chain Volume’ refers to those transactions which occur on the Blockchain in a specified period. The Bitcoins which are held in wallets or the transactions performed off-chain (Lightning Network transactions) are not included in the parameter.

Bitcoin
Bitcoin [BTC] 1-Day On-Chain Volume and BTC/USD price on a Log Scale
According to their analysis, the on-chain volume on Bitcoin has entered an accumulation phase as pointed out in the grey circles. It is identified by an area in the graph when the price continues the downtrend. However, the ‘on-chain volume’ reverses its momentum towards the positive side.

He confirmed in the same thread that:

In fact, 1d HODL “volume” pointed to the bottom being in for quite some time. The accumulation band having already formed.

The analysts have procured On-Chain 1-Day Volume Data from various sources to reduce variance and bias in their data. The patterns have revealed similar characteristics from all sources.

Bitcoin on chain
Bitcoin [BTC] 1-Day On-Chain Volume and BTC/USD price on a Log Scale (Combined from Different Sources)
The dotted line around the Bitcoin price (in yellow) is the 200-Day Moving Average line of Bitcoin. Notice how the cross-over between the two lines has taken place towards the end of the graph.

Murad Mahmudov had earlier suggested that the bear market is still in action and Bitcoin might go down to $2000-2500 by mid-September in 2019 at the #token2049 conference in Hong Kong. Therefore, their views and price are both shifting towards the bullish side as Bitcoin continues its uptrend.

Willy Woo Mentioned in a tweet that:

“the 2018 bear market was compressed for very specific reasons, each bear and each bull have each had very different structures unique to themselves.”

The question remains if the market sentiments would continue to comply with the same in short to medium term as well.

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'2018 Bitcoin Bear Market was Compressed for Very Specific Reasons': Leading Trade Analyst
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'2018 Bitcoin Bear Market was Compressed for Very Specific Reasons': Leading Trade Analyst
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The relentless rise on Bitcoin which started on April 2nd, 2019 has continued for almost a week as Bitcoin maintained its value above $5000. The price of Bitcoin (BTC) at 3: 00 Hours UTC on 8th April 2019 is $5302. It is trading 3.85% higher on the daily scale. 
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CoinGape
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Nivesh Rustgi 357 Articles

Nivesh from Engineering Background is a full-time Crypto Journalist at Coingape. He is an atheist who believes in love and cultural diversity. He believes that Cryptocurrency is a necessity to deter corruption. He holds small amounts of cryptocurrencies. Faith and fear are two sides of the same coin. Follow him on Twitter at @nivishoes and reach out to him at nivesh (at) coingape.com

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Nivesh Rustgi 357 Articles

Nivesh from Engineering Background is a full-time Crypto Journalist at Coingape. He is an atheist who believes in love and cultural diversity. He believes that Cryptocurrency is a necessity to deter corruption. He holds small amounts of cryptocurrencies. Faith and fear are two sides of the same coin. Follow him on Twitter at @nivishoes and reach out to him at nivesh (at) coingape.com

Follow Nivesh @