Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC free-falls from weekend highs, can the 50 SMA hold?

John Isige
Updated
John is a seasoned crypto expert, renowned for his in-depth analysis and accurate price predictions in the digital asset market. As the Price Prediction Editor for Market Content at CoinGape Media, he is dedicated to delivering valuable insights on price trends and market forecasts. With his extensive experience in the crypto sphere, John has honed his skills in understanding on-chain data analytics, Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs), Decentralized Finance (DeFi), Centralized Finance (CeFi), and the dynamic metaverse landscape. Through his steadfast reporting, John keeps his audience informed and equipped to navigate the ever-changing crypto market.
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  • Bitcoin price fails to sustain the weekend breakout above $10,400, hitting a barrier at $10,600.
  • BTC/USD continues to trend within the toughest seller congestion zone between $10,311 and $10,620 according to on-chain metrics.

The flagship cryptocurrency briefly stepped above the stubborn resistance at $10,400 over the weekend where it traded very close to $10,600. Unfortunately, the momentum fizzled out, culminating in a drop back into the range ($10,000 – $10,400). At the time of writing, Bitcoin is exchanging hands at $10,316 amid a growing bearish grip.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) in the 4-hour range puts emphasis on the increasing selling activities, especially with the drop under the midline. If the downtrend continues under 40 and towards 30 (oversold region), BTC may kick start another breakdown towards the range support at $10,000.

Related reading: Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC/USD Hunting For Explosive Breakout, Is $11,200 The Rendezvous?

BTC/USD 4-hour chart

BTC/USD price chart
BTC/USD price chart by Tradingview

Meanwhile, the 50 Simple Moving Average at $10,265 is in line to offer much-needed support. If the price can hold above this zone, there is a likelihood of the bellwether cryptocurrency resuming the uptrend. The same downside is also protected by an ascending trendline. It is essential for Bitcoin to hold above this trendline to be safe from potential losses eyeing $10,000.

IntoTheBlock IOMAP
IntoTheBlock IOMAP

According to on-chain data by IntoTheBlock, Bitcoin is set to face its hardest test this week in the range between $10,311 and $10,620. Note that the resistance in this area is brought about by the 1.22 million addresses that previously purchased 827,250 BTC. However, if this zone is flipped into support, the largest cryptocurrency will have a relatively smooth ride above $11,000. The next critical resistance is highlighted between $11,238 and $11,547, a range where 1.1 million addresses bought 521,050 BTC.

Bitcoin Intraday Levels

Spot rate: $10,316

Relative change: -18.95

Percentage change: -0.22%

Trend: Bearish

Volatility: Low

Read more:  Bitcoin Technical Analysis: BTC Blasts Through Triangle Resistance, All Eyes On $10,800

Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
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Why Trust CoinGape

CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more… to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

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About Author
About Author
John is a seasoned crypto expert, renowned for his in-depth analysis and accurate price predictions in the digital asset market. As the Price Prediction Editor for Market Content at CoinGape Media, he is dedicated to delivering valuable insights on price trends and market forecasts. With his extensive experience in the crypto sphere, John has honed his skills in understanding on-chain data analytics, Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs), Decentralized Finance (DeFi), Centralized Finance (CeFi), and the dynamic metaverse landscape. Through his steadfast reporting, John keeps his audience informed and equipped to navigate the ever-changing crypto market.