A Single Trader Has Made Nearly Half of All Augur Profits Since Inception

Published January 25, 2019 | Updated January 25, 2019

A Single Trader Has Made Nearly Half of All Augur Profits Since Inception

New data pulled from decentralized betting marketplace Augur shows that since the platform launched nearly seven months ago, a single user has reaped nearly half of the profits made from placing bets on the platform.

An Augur leaderboard compiled by security researcher Mike McDonald shows that the anonymous user has made nearly $100,000 from Augur bets.


Source: GitHub

Contrasting Fortunes

Over the course of 177 trades, the user has made 856.4656 ETH, which works out to about $99,433 at current market rates. As fascinating as this would appear, the rest of the leadership makes more even more interesting reading, with the user in (a distant) second place recording profits of 136.926 ETH (about $15,866) across just 14 trades, meaning that this user has averaged over $1,000 in profit per trade.

Further down the leaderboard in fourth place is a mega-user with 662 trades on Augur and a profit balance of 84.935 ETH ($9,865). At the extreme end of the list in 1,344th place is a user with 80 trades registered on Augur and a net loss of 1311.529 ETH ($152,504), which averages at a loss of approximately $1,906 per trade. This user is by far and away the biggest loser on the entire Augur platform, with the next biggest loser registering a loss of 387.59 ETH ($45,069) across 229 trades.

Evidence of Low Turnover

Beyond the novelty value of these results, what seems evident from this data is that like so many other DApps, Augur is suffering from a pointed lack of usage. A total of 1344 users in over six months of operation averages out at about 224 new users per month. A cursory examination of the current DApp usage leaderboard shows that it is still heavily dominated by gambling DApps which while relatively active with large volumes of money flowing through them, are only used by a relatively small number of people.

Augur was marketed at launch as the platform that would show the true value of decentralization by creating a censorship-free environment for all types of betting markets. Instead, however, the post-launch period was dominated by news about assassination prediction markets on U.S. president Donald Trump opening up, among other embarrassing incidents.

The recent launch of the Veil Mainnet, built on Augur and 0x protocols, however, provided a much-needed market boost for Augur, sending the REP price shooting up 38 percent last week. Veil has marketed itself as a consumer-friendly implementation of Augur, solving the platform’s problems of delayed payout and low speed.

The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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David Hundeyin 13 Articles
I am a busy writer and journalist with an interest in tech and finance. When I'm not writing and traveling around Africa, you can sometimes catch me in the writers room at 'The Other News', Nigeria's weekly answer to 'The Daily Show' with nearly 2 million viewers. My work on 'The Other News' has been featured in the New Yorker Magazine. I have been nominated by the US State Department to take part in the 2019 Edward R. Murrow Program for journalists under the International Visitors Leadership Program.

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