Polymarket predicts  Russia’s Nuclear Attack

October 20, 2022

Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform that allows you to bet your tokens on the outcome of current events.

Following rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine, Polymarket is accepting bets now on “Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?”

The current odds being offered on "Yes" on the nuclear weapon question are about 17 to 1, meaning you'd win $17 for every $1 you bet.

On the other hand, betting correctly on "No" would win you $1.06 for every $1 you bet.

According to Polymarket, “A prediction market on whether Russia will use nuclear weapons has been requested many times”.

It detailed that “this market will resolve to ‘Yes’ if the Russian Federation detonates a nuclear device in an offensive capacity by Dec. 31, 2022, 11:59:59 p.m. ET.

Otherwise, market will resolve to ‘No.’” Also, to meet the "yes" criterion, the detonation of a nuclear weapon must be an offensive capability, not a test.