Today, the Bitcoin price is trading at the $19723 mark and had earlier retested the weekly support of $19500. The long tail-rejection attached to the daily candle back by decreasing volume increases the likelihood of bullish reversal. Can the potential bull run reclaim the $20600 mark?
Following the August second-half sell-off, the Bitcoin price plunged to $19500 support and initiated a consolidation phase. This downfall has offset around 75% of gains recorded during the June to early august recovery and plummeted the prices by 22.5%.
Earlier this week, the Bitcoin price attempted to recover higher but failed to surpass the nearest resistance of $20750. As a result, the coin price entered a narrow consolidation between the $20750 and $19500.
Furthermore, the failed attempt mentioned above slumped the BTC price back to the $19500 mark. However, the decreasing volume during this bearish reversal reflects that the seller’s hand is weakening as we approach the lower support.
Such volume activity with a long lower price rejection indicates a higher possibility for a bullish reversal. Thus, if the buyers pierce the $20750 resistance, the Bitcoin price may witness a longer relief rally before continuing the bear trend.
A bullish reversal may surge prices by 10.5 or $14.5% to hit the $21900 or $22600 resistance, respectively. However, a bullish breakout above $22600 would weaken the bearish momentum and bolster buyers for a $25000 breakout.
On the flip side, if the Bitcoin price took an immediate reversal from the $20750 resistance, the consolidation range would extend longer and possibly breach the lower support.
A breakdown below $19500 will prolong the correction phase to $18865 or $18000.
Bollinger band: the coin price trading quite below the middle line reflects an aggressive selling in the market. Moreover, a possible reversal may face dynamic resistance from this midline.
RSI indicator: A bullish divergence in daily-RSI slope bolsters price reversal from the $19500
MACD indicator: the fast and slow slope drawn close to each other displays the buyers’ attempt to regain trend control. A potential bullish crossover between these will encourage the $20750 breakout.
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