Price Analysis

Can Shiba Inu Price Break $0.000016? SHIB MVRV Signals Bottom as Losses Ease

Shiba Inu price eyes the $0.000016 resistance level as on-chain metrics suggest the meme coin is on the verge of a rebound.
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Can Shiba Inu Price Break $0.000016? SHIB MVRV Signals Bottom as Losses Ease

Highlights

  • Shiba Inu (SHIB) price eyes further gains as the MVRV ratio and the volume of daily on-chain transactions in losses flip bullish.
  • These on-chain metrics suggest SHIB may have formed a local bottom, allowing for the price to recover.
  • The CMF indicator on the daily chart shows a bullish divergence suggesting smart money may be buying the dip.

Shiba Inu (SHIB) is down by 5% in the last 24 hours amid a crash across the broader crypto market that has caused more than $600M in liquidations. Despite the dip, two key metrics – the MVRV ratio and daily on-chain transaction volumes in loss – suggest that a reversal is underway.

SHIB trades at $0.000014 today, with a seven-day dip of 18%. Meanwhile, trading volumes had increased by 81% in 24 hours according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Has Shiba Inu Price Formed a Local Bottom?

After losing over 16% in just one week, on-chain data indicates that a SHIB price bottom has been formed. The MVRV ratio is currently at the same level that it was in Q3 2024, before Shiba Inu made an explosive upward rally.

Shiba Inu MVRV Ratio

If history rhymes, which is usually the case with most meme coins and the crypto market, the price of SHIB may overcome bearish trends and resume the uptrend that it started last week.

Additionally, shortly after the MVRV ratio bottomed last year, SHIB soared by 128%. If the top meme coin replicates these gains, it will reach the $0.000032 price within weeks.

Meanwhile, Shiba Inu’s daily on-chain transaction volumes in loss have plummeted to 579 billion after reaching nearly 5 trillion earlier this month.

SHIB Daily On-Chain Transaction Volumes in Loss

This decline indicates that capitulation may be over, as fewer traders are willing to sell SHIB at a loss. This drop will reduce the downward pressure on Shiba Inu price, which further indicates that the meme coin is in a bottoming phase.

As the MVRV and easing on-chain losses support a bullish Shiba Inu price forecast that the meme coin has indeed bottomed, long-term holders may start accumulating. This will form the basin for which SHIB price rebounds.

Technical Analysis as Bullish Signals Emerge

The daily Shiba Inu price chart shows multiple bullish signals, suggesting that the downward momentum may be false and may quickly be followed by an upward reversal. The CMF indicator on this chart is rising while the price is dropping, which may show that smart money is accumulating or buying the dip.

The ADX line also paints a similar picture and is leaning towards a bullish reversal occurring soon. This line is dropping alongside the price of Shiba Inu, an indication that the downward momentum is not strong enough, and sellers may soon reach exhaustion.

Considering this technical outlook, it is likely that SHIB defends support at the $0.0000139 price and rebounds to test the resistance at $0.000016. If this happens, traders should watch out for a bullish leg to $0.000022.

SHIB/USDT: 1-day Chart

The on-chain data, including the MVRV and transaction profitability, coupled with this technical outlook, supports a bullish outlook for Shiba Inu price. Therefore, if the broader market cap recovers from the ongoing correction, SHIB can easily lead the next bull run.

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Muthoni Mary

Muthoni Mary is a seasoned crypto market analyst and writer with over three years of experience decoding blockchain trends, price movements, and market dynamics. She holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Commerce (Finance) from Kenyatta University, blending a solid academic foundation with a sharp eye for technical analysis and a deep understanding of on-chain data. Her work delivers clear, data-driven insights that empower investors to navigate the fast-evolving digital asset space with confidence. When she’s not analyzing the markets, Mary enjoys reading and travelling.

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