Price Analysis

Will Toncoin Price Crash Below $5 Shake Telegram’s Revenue Streams?

Toncoin price volatility threatens Telegram's revenue, as 40% of the company's income is tied to crypto-related sources.
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Will Toncoin Price Crash Below $5 Shake Telegram’s Revenue Streams?

Highlights

  • Toncoin price is 12% away from retesting the multi-month support of $4.72.
  • Telegram’s balance sheet reveals $400M in crypto holdings, specifically Toncoin (TON), surpassing their cash reserves.
  • A downsloping trendline drives the current correction trend in the TON price.

Following the broader market uncertainty, the toncoin price showed a modest gain of 0.32% to $5.39 on Saturday’s trading session. This consolidation trend below the 200-day Exponential moving average keeps bears in charge of the current market movement. Will the mounting selling pressure push the TON price below $5?

Toncoin Price Volatility May Impact Telegram as 40% of Revenue Ties to Crypto

The financial snapshot of Telegram for 2023 reveals significant insights into the company’s operations and its heavy involvement in the crypto space. DefiIgnas, the co-founder of DeFi Creator Studio PinkBrains, highlighted that 40% of Telegram’s revenue comes from crypto-related sources.

The integrated wallet for crypto transactions and the sale of digital collectibles like usernames and virtual phone numbers fuels this revenue stream. Data sourced from Financial Times shows that Telegram generated $342.5M in revenue in 2023 but ended the year with a loss of $108M.

This indicates the company struggles to balance income and operation expenses amid the volatile crypto market. The tweet further highlighted Telegram’s Balance sheet, revealing $400 Million in crypto holdings (specifically in TON), which exceeds their cash reserves.

Therefore, the Toncoin price movement could significantly impact Telegram, given the company’s major holding in crypto assets.

TON Price Set to Retest Multi-Month Support

Since last week, the Toncoin price has witnessed aggressive selling pressure following the arrest of Telegram founder Pavel Durov. The bearish turnaround plunged the asset from $6.85 to $5.37, registering a 22% loss. 

An analysis of the daily chart shows a downsloping trendline drives the current correction trend and maintains sell-the-rallies sentiment in the market. With sustained selling, the TON price could plunge 12% to hit $4.72, a horizontal support intact since March 2024.

If sellers flip this crucial support to potential resistance, the Toncoin price could extend correction to $3.3.

TON/USDT – 1d Chart

On the contrary, the $4.72 level is a crucial accumulation point for buyers. A potential reversal will signal renewed recovery momentum and bolster buyers to breach the overhead trendline.

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Sahil Mahadik

Sahil is a dedicated full-time trader with over three years of experience in the financial markets. Armed with a strong grasp of technical analysis, he keeps a vigilant eye on the daily price movements of top assets and indices. Drawn by his fascination with financial instruments, Sahil enthusiastically embraced the emerging realm of cryptocurrency, where he continues to explore opportunities driven by his passion for trading

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