The crypto industry eagerly awaits the launch of spot Solana and XRP ETFs after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) successfully approved spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs this year. Moreover, the recent cues and developments have driven demand for these exchange-traded funds from institutional investors.
However, an ETF expert explains there are still many headwinds despite some people seeing high odds of approval next year. The primary reason behind for slow approval of these investment vehicles is reluctance by the US SEC.
Nate Geraci, president of The ETF Store and co-founder of The ETF Institute, said additional spot crypto ETF approvals like those for Solana or XRP seem unlikely. Keeping politics aside, the current market conditions and regulatory stance make it difficult to envision spot SOL ETF or spot XRP ETF for a year or two.
“Nothing would indicate a spot Solana or XRP ETF is possible in next yr or two given current state,” Geraci said in an X post on September 14.
He believes the odds are low under the current administration. The possibility might hinge on the outcome of the US elections in November. There may be a potential shift in crypto regulatory policies if there’s a change in administration.
The market speculates major shift with Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump and Massachusetts Senate candidate John Deaton’s victory. Pro-XRP lawyer Deaton’s win is linked to a potential boost in XRP exchange-traded fund. However, Democrat Kamala Harris’ win in the presidential elections will put the crypto industry in limbo.
The speculation surrounding spot Solana exchange-traded fund gained immediately after the approval of proof-of-stake Ethereum for exchange-traded funds by the US SEC.
Furthermore, VanEck and 21Shares filing for spot SOL ETF fueled investor sentiment and SOL price. However, VanEck and 21Shares 19b-4 filings for SOL ETF are now not available on Cboe website, experts claimed the US SEC is reluctant to approve them.
After Brazil approved two spot Solana ETFs, VanEck head of research Matthew Sigel revealed that the US may need a regulatory “soft fork” before Solana ETF can get approval.
Solana price fell after delays in ETF approval by the US SEC. This has dampened investor optimism, potentially driving bearish sentiment. SOL price is currently trading at $138, down over 2% in a month.
The odds of XRP ETF were boosted by Ripple’s partial in the US SEC v. Ripple Labs lawsuit. Recent developments by US SEC and Ripple executives have hinted at no appeal in XRP lawsuit.
This clarity, alongside developments like Grayscale XRP Trust and XRP Index by CME, underscores the integration of XRP into traditional financial systems, which further boosted the odds.
Ripple president Monica Long commented on a potential XRP ETF launch. Moreover, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse and CLO Stuart Alderoty have remained confident about the odds.
XRP price jumped 3% in the past 24 hours and 11% in a week,with the price currently trading at $0.586. The 24-hour low and high are $0.566 and $0.591, respectively. The price witnessing upside momentum this week after Grayscale announced XRP Trust.
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