88% of the Bitcoin Supply Already In Profit, Is BTC Price Bottom Already In?

With the Bitcoin price gaining past $65,000, investors are predicting that the bottom is already in. MVRV ratio presents a buy signal with 67% gains.
By Bhushan Akolkar
Bitcoin Traders Prioritize Broader Risks Over 'Halving'

Highlights

  • 88% of Bitcoin supply is current in profit hinting at that selling pressure can continue.
  • However, Bitcoin MVRV ratio presents a buying opportunity on the other hand.
  • Bitcoin requires a strong liquidity boost before US elections to sustain the bull run.

Bitcoin (BTC) staged a strong recovery over the last weekend shooting all the way to $66,000 after facing some selling pressure last week. Analysts are clearly watching as to in which direction the Bitcoin price would see a formidable momentum ahead. However, a large part of the Bitcoin supply is still in profit, which puts some pressure on the upside from here.

Bitcoin (BTC) Profit Supply

In recent on-chain data, it’s been reported that the percentage of Bitcoin supply currently in profit stands at 88.8%. Although this figure remains relatively high, it has notably decreased from its peak earlier in the year.

The last instance where the percentage reached this level was on February 7th, 2024, when the price of Bitcoin was recorded at $44,000. Analysts are now closely watching to see if Bitcoin can sustain its current momentum or if a further cooldown period is necessary for the market.

BTC Price Bottom

Some market analysts like Nebraskagooner believe that should Bitcoin surge to $75,000 from its current position, it could indicate that the market has reached its bottom. However, if the price falls below $58,000, it suggests that the bottom has not yet been reached.

Also, the Bitcoin MVRV ratio hints at a prime buying opportunity at this point. According to crypto analyst Ali Martinez, whenever the Bitcoin MVRV Ratio dips below its 90-day average since November 2022, it suggests a favorable BTC buying chance, historically yielding an average gain of 67%! This pattern has emerged once more, hinting that now could be an ideal moment to purchase $BTC.

Courtesy: Ali Martinez

Ali Martinez notes that Bitcoin’s correlation with the Global Liquidity Index remained strong until 2024. However, this year, the correlation has broken. Martinez emphasizes the necessity of a liquidity boost before the US elections to sustain the ongoing BTC bull market. Despite fees paid to Bitcoin miners spiking to 1,258 $BTC, the creation of new BTC addresses has dwindled, registering only 260,838. The recent surge in the Bitcoin transaction fees has been majorly due to the Runes protocol.

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Bhushan Akolkar
Bhushan is a seasoned crypto writer with over eight years of experience spanning more than 10,000 contributions across multiple platforms like CoinGape, CoinSpeaker, Bitcoinist, Crypto News Flash, and others. Being a Fintech enthusiast, he loves reporting across Crypto, Blockchain, DeFi, Global Macros with a keen understanding in financial markets. 

He is committed to continuous learning and stays motivated by sharing the knowledge he acquires. In his free time, Bhushan enjoys reading thriller fiction novels and occasionally explores his culinary skills. Bhushan has a bachelors degree in electronics engineering, however, his interest in finance and economics drives him to crypto and blockchain.
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