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Altcoin Rally Won’t Happen Until 2025 As Bitcoin Eyes 60% Market Dominance

Analyst Benjamin Cowen suggests that a significant altcoin rally is unlikely this quarter due to strong DXY and rising Bitcoin dominance.
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Altcoin Rally Won’t Happen Until 2025 As Bitcoin Eyes 60% Market Dominance

Highlights

  • Declining net liquidity and a strengthening U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) will push Bitcoin dominance higher until early 2025.
  • Bitcoin's market dominance is projected to peak around 60% by December 2024, driven by growing demand for spot Bitcoin ETFs.
  • Bitcoin whale transactions hit a 10-week high, and social media discussions increasingly favor Bitcoin over altcoins.

While the Bitcoin (BTC) price has been eyeing a move above $70,000 recently, top altcoins like Ethereum (ETH), BNB, and Solana (SOL) have picked up much pace in this resurgence. Market analysts believe that it’s too early to call for an altcoin rally and might not happen in the fourth quarter of this year.

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Don’t Expect An Altcoin Rally in Q4 2024, Here’s Why

Popular crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen stated that the current altcoin turbulence against Bitcoin is mainly due to the drop in net liquidity along with the strengthening of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). He believes that this trend will continue until 2025 while pushing the Bitcoin market dominance even higher this quarter.

Cowen predicts that BTC dominance will peak around 60% between September and December 2024, and might as well overshoot this milestone. He expects the dominance uptrend to end by early January 2025.

However, with the potential for interest rate cuts and the reintroduction of quantitative easing (QE), Cowen suggests that 2025 will bring about different market conditions that could shift the dynamics for altcoins. Here’s the list of some best altcoins to bet on before the rally begins.

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Bitcoin Eyes 60% Market Dominance

As the odds of a Donald Trump victory in the upcoming US Presidential elections improve, analysts are hopeful that he might end the crypto regulatory headlock as seen during the Biden administration.

On the other hand, the demand for spot Bitcoin ETFs has skyrocketed this week clocking nearly $1.4 billion in inflows within the first three days of the week. The BlackRock Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) has been leading the pack taking its total inflows above $22.5 billion since inception in January.

Vetle Lunde, the Head of Research at K33 Research, writes:

“After super strong ETF flows lately, new milestones have been reached! Yesterday, U.S. spot ETFs surpassed 950,000 BTC under management, marking a new all-time high. These relentless flows have pushed global BTC ETP beyond 1.2m BTC for the first time”.

Another reason why Bitcoin dominates over altcoins is that the BTC whale transactions have reached their highest in over 10 weeks with 11,697 transfers exceeding $100,000 on Tuesday, earlier this week.

Furthermore, on-chain data provider Santiment reports that social media discussions have shifted heavily toward Bitcoin over altcoins, with the leading cryptocurrency accounting for more than a quarter of all crypto-related conversations. This comes as Bitcoin’s price surpassed $68,000 for the first time since July, drawing heightened attention from traders.

Courtesy: Santiment

An analysis by CoinGape shows BTC price to kickstart bull rally to a new all-time high in October. Multiple factors including BTC open interest and on-chain data hint at massive upside momentum. Bitcoin currently trades above $67,000.

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Bhushan Akolkar

Bhushan is a seasoned crypto writer with over eight years of experience spanning more than 10,000 contributions across multiple platforms like CoinGape, CoinSpeaker, Bitcoinist, Crypto News Flash, and others. Being a Fintech enthusiast, he loves reporting across Crypto, Blockchain, DeFi, Global Macros with a keen understanding in financial markets. 

He is committed to continuous learning and stays motivated by sharing the knowledge he acquires. In his free time, Bhushan enjoys reading thriller fiction novels and occasionally explores his culinary skills. Bhushan has a bachelors degree in electronics engineering, however, his interest in finance and economics drives him to crypto and blockchain.

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Why trust CoinGape: CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights to our readers. Our journalists and analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
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