Decentralized finance and crypto markets may have slumped this week, but zooming out to look at the bigger picture suggests that we are still at very early stages of investment.
Crypto investor Andrew Kang has taken a deep dive into the state of decentralized finance markets and concluded that things are currently somewhere between the first selloff and bear trap.
This chart is reminiscent of the one in 2017 for cryptocurrencies when there were a number of pullbacks before the huge parabolic spike at the end of the year. Of course, we all know what came next, a long painful bear market that lasted 18 months.
Kang delved into the technicals first noting that there has been a 50% retrace, wiping out a month’s worth of price action in terms of DeFi index perpetual futures.
The Messari DeFi asset index confirms this reporting a current total market capitalization of $5.2 billion for all DeFi related coins. At its peak, this figure exceeded $12 billion.
He added that short interest in DeFi coins, using LINK as an example, continues to grow on the way down as Open Interest increases indicating a return is imminent. Larger traders have taken off their DeFi exposure by now which has reduced prices to a fairer value.
Kang also noted that many ‘degens’, or degenerate farmers as they’re known in the industry, are still fully deployed in liquidity pools and retail traders have yet to enter.
“True retail doesn’t seem to have entered much yet, and I’m still debating whether/how that happens this cycle.”
Innovation in the space is advancing at ‘blistering pace’, he added, and this can be evidenced by the rush to deploy Layer 2 scaling solutions by major DeFi protocols such as Uniswap, Yearn Finance, Aave, and Synthetix.
Taking total value locked, which is a measure of dollar equivalent crypto collateral, into consideration reveals that it has continued to advance parabolically despite this week’s market pullback.
Figures from Defipulse.com state that there is $9.3 billion locked across DeFi protocols, which is a gain of 1840% since the same time last year.
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