Will Crypto Market Crash, Is This Bitcoin Recovery A Bull Trap?

Varinder Singh
September 18, 2024 Updated September 20, 2024
Why Trust CoinGape
CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.
Crypto Market This Week: Ripple Files Cross Appeal, Token Listings Gain Traction

Highlights

  • Arthur Hayes said Fed interest rate cuts will crash Bitcoin and the crypto market.
  • The interest rate gap between the US dollar and the Japanese yen will narrow.
  • He recommends investing in Treasury bills and Ethereum.

Experts such as crypto billionaire Arthur Hayes on said Bitcoin and the crypto market will crash a few days after Fed interest rate cuts. The US Federal Reserve cut rates by 50 bps, with a 25 bps rate cut in the coming months amid slowing inflation and the labor market. Is this a bull trap as technical strength resonates with BTC price jump to $65K.

Advertisement
Advertisement

Arthur Hayes Says Fed Rate Cut Will Crash Crypto Market

During a speech at the Token2049 event on September 18, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes talked about the macroeconomic trends such as Fed rate cuts and its impact on the crypto market.

He believes the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut can crash markets, including Bitcoin price and the crypto market. He added that it would be a big mistake by the Fed under current conditions. According to CME FedWatch tool, the Fed is to reduce rates by 125 bps rate this year.

Arthur Hayes asserts the markets will collapse within a few days as it will narrow the interest rate gap between the US dollar and the Japanese yen. The unwinding of Yen carry trades by hedge funds and big investors almost triggered a small financial crisis as Bank of Japan hiked interest rates.

CoinGape Media also provided a similar outlook as Hayes. The report revealed that economists expect a rate hike by BOJ as early as October. It will threaten the market rally sentiment due to rising volatility and uncertainty.

Bitcoin

Advertisement
Advertisement

Invest in Treasury Bills And Ethereum

Arthur Hayes said he has enjoyed a return of around 5.5% from Treasury bills for more than a year after the Fed stopped raising interest rates. While assets having yield less than Treasury bills have failed to attract investors. He claims this is the reason why ETH price has remained low. There are several other factors driving Ethereum price rally.

The US dollar index (DXY) rises above 101 today. The US 10-year Treasury yield held around 3.717%, rising from 15-month lows as investors braced for the Federal Reserve monetary policy decision.

However, Ethereum will become more attractive if Treasuries fall after Fed rate cuts, which he things to happen. Hayes recommends buying Ethereum, Pendle, Ethena’s USDe and other similar products with stable yield.

“You need to buy treasury bonds, we will buy them, put them in some legal structure, and then give you a certificate that pays interest.”

Recently, Arthur Hayes correctly crypto market recovery after BTC price crash. He closed his short position on Bitcoin after Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s market oversight and statement.

Advertisement
coingape google news coingape google news
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
Ad Disclosure: This site may feature sponsored content and affiliate links. All advertisements are clearly labeled, and ad partners have no influence over our editorial content.

Why Trust CoinGape

CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more…to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

About Author
About Author
Varinder has over 10 years of experience and is known as a seasoned leader for his involvement in the fintech sector. With over 5 years dedicated to blockchain, crypto, and Web3 developments, he has experienced two Bitcoin halving events making him key opinion leader in the space. At CoinGape Media, Varinder leads the editorial decisions, spearheading the news team to cover latest updates, markets trends and developments within the crypto industry. The company was recognized as Best Crypto Media Company 2024 for high impact and quality reporting. Being a Master of Technology degree holder, analytics thinker, technology enthusiast, Varinder has shared his knowledge of disruptive technologies in over 5000+ news, articles, and papers.
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
Ad Disclosure: This site may feature sponsored content and affiliate links. All advertisements are clearly labeled, and ad partners have no influence over our editorial content.