Breaking: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Risks Falling Below $21,000, Here’s Why

Varinder Singh
August 18, 2022
Why Trust CoinGape
CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.
Bitcoin Price Analysis

The Bitcoin (BTC) price can fall below $21,000 as the bear hug tightens. The price recently touched a high of $25,135 and retraced to a low of $23,243. The downward price trend has formed a regular bearish divergence with a short-term target of falling to $21,000-$20,000.

The Crypto Market Fear and Greed Index has tumbled from 47 to 30 in just a week and 41 to 30 in a day.

Advertisement
Advertisement

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Can Decline Below $21,000 Amid Sell-Off

The Bitcoin (BTC) price has fared a bullish movement despite interest rate hikes and recession fears, making a rally above the $25,000 level. However, bulls are fading and need to show more power to keep the price in an uptrend. A slight selling pressure can negate the uptrend, pulling Bitcoin into the $21,000-$20,000 range.

Moreover, the Bitcoin (BTC) price trend in recent weeks has formed a bearish divergence pattern in the MVRV 7-day Detrend Oscillator. It suggests the BTC price can fall below $21,000. Applying a detrend filter to the price trends helps identify market bottoms and peaks by eliminating long-term price noise.

Bitcoin (BTC) MVRV 7D Detrend Filter
Bitcoin (BTC) MVRV 7D Detrend Filter. Source: CryptoQuant

Bitcoin (BTC) is in a downward trend for the long term, specifically since November. However, the price has shown upside movement in the last 1-month. The descending channel in a daily timeframe indicates the BTC price was preparing to break above the channel, but it fails to break the $25,000 psychological resistance level.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price in 1D Timeframe
Bitcoin (BTC) Price in 1D Timeframe. Source: TradingView

Moreover, the price trend seems to have changed after the recent pullback to $23,243. Bitcoin has now reached an inflection point that will decide the upcoming price movement.

The 20-EMA (red) did move above the 50-EMA (blue) to confirm bullish momentum. However, the bulls failed to build momentum and seem to be fading. The 20-EMA may likely move below the 50-EMA again, which will confirm a bearish movement below $21,000.

Advertisement
Advertisement

What’s Creating the Downward Pressure?

The U.S. Federal Reserve in Wednesday’s FOMC meeting confirmed the need to continue raising interest rates to control inflation. Moreover, Bitcoin social sentiment has fallen on the negative side and exchange inflows have increased.

The profit booking on upper levels is creating selling pressure. According to crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe, it is crucial to break above $23.7k to trigger an upside movement towards $24,000. However, a retest below $23k can be expected for an upside move to $28k.

Advertisement
coingape google news coingape google news
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
Ad Disclosure: This site may feature sponsored content and affiliate links. All advertisements are clearly labeled, and ad partners have no influence over our editorial content.

Why Trust CoinGape

CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more…to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

About Author
About Author
Varinder has over 10 years of experience and is known as a seasoned leader for his involvement in the fintech sector. With over 5 years dedicated to blockchain, crypto, and Web3 developments, he has experienced two Bitcoin halving events making him key opinion leader in the space. At CoinGape Media, Varinder leads the editorial decisions, spearheading the news team to cover latest updates, markets trends and developments within the crypto industry. The company was recognized as Best Crypto Media Company 2024 for high impact and quality reporting. Being a Master of Technology degree holder, analytics thinker, technology enthusiast, Varinder has shared his knowledge of disruptive technologies in over 5000+ news, articles, and papers.
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
Ad Disclosure: This site may feature sponsored content and affiliate links. All advertisements are clearly labeled, and ad partners have no influence over our editorial content.