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Bitcoin Price Today: What if BTC Crashes to $85,000?

Discover if Bitcoin price today trading above $100K crashes below it and slides as low as $85,000, what would happen then?
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Bitcoin Price Today: What if BTC Crashes to $85,000?

Highlights

  • Bitcoin price could crash to $85,000 in April 2025 instead of August 2025, predicts popular crypto analyst Ansem.
  • the 30-day MVRV indicator & BTC price action shows the possibility of 2024's first quarter history repeating itself.
  • A drop below $102K could trigger a crash to $96K, but a bounce could lead to new ATH of $120K.

Bitcoin (BTC) price today trades at $104,881.0 on 11 PM. BTC price hit a daily high of $105,232.0 today after a 0.13% move on October 9. But this expert and popular crypto analyst is forecasting a potential BTC price crash to $85,000, not in August, but in April. Will such a crash occur? What could happen to crypto markets in this scenario?

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Bitcoin Price Today is Crashing. Why?

Bitcoin price today is down 0.13%, continuing the rangebound movement it began on January 19. In this sideways movement, BTC has experienced massive volatility that created an all-time high (ATH) at $110,000 with no significant progress. Currently, BTC price trades at $104,881.0 above the $102.2K to $92.7K range. Hence, the reason for the recent downtick in BTC is the ongoing consolidation. But if there’s a crash, how low can the price go? One expert analyst poses a “what if” question, pushing investors to think what would happen if Bitcoin crashed to $85,000.

*bitcoin price updated as of 11 PM.

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Will Bitcoin Crash to $85,000? 

Popular analyst Ansem’s Bitcoin price forecast on X notes a potential crash to $85,000 in April instead of August 2025.

“many are saying august reminder, but what if its, april reminder”

The expert points to Bitcoin’s April 2024 price action, which suggests a potential crash to $85,000. Based on this fractal, Ansem opens up the possibility of the April 2024 fractal repeating history in April 2025.

BTC/USD 4-hour chart

From a technical standpoint, it makes sense for Bitcoin to crash below $85,000. This move would sweep the sell-side liquidity resting below $90,000. A clear support level below $90K would be around $85,000.

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Does On-chain Metric Support a Crash?

The 30-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio shows that it is currently in the danger zone. This zone is where 30-day BTC holders with unrealized gains tend to sell, leading to a price reversal. Hence, investors can expect a short-term correction.

But interestingly, Bitcoin price action and 30-day MVRV show similar fractals to what elapsed in Q1 2024. Hence, the chances of history repeating are high here.

Bitcoin Price vs. 30-day MVRV

Key Levels To Watch 

The four-hour Bitcoin price chart shows that $102K is now the key support level to watch. A breakdown or bounce here will determine where BTC could go next.

Most investors expect a bounce from $102K. In such a case, the current ATH at $110K is the key resistance level. Beyond this, the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level at $120K could be where BTC sets its next peak.

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart

On the contrary, a breakdown of the $102K support level could send BTC into the buy zone, which extends from $99.1K to $96.7K. There is a high chance that sidelined buyers may accumulate here. However, if the selling pressure is high, then Bitcoin price could revisit the range low of $92.7K.

If the crypto analyst Ansem’s prediction were to come true, bears need to break the $92.7K support level with a daily or weekly candlestick close below it. In such a case, the price could dive toward the next key area of interest at $85K.

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Akash Girimath

Senior Cryptocurrency Analyst & Market Strategist Engineer-turned-analyst Akash Girimath delivers data-driven insights on cryptocurrency markets, DeFi, and blockchain technology for platforms like AMBCrypto and FXStreet. Specializing in technical analysis, on-chain analytics, and risk management, he empowers institutional investors and retail traders to navigate market volatility and regulatory shifts. A hands-on strategist, Akash merges active crypto portfolio management with research on Web3, NFTs, and tokenomics. At AMBCrypto, he led cross-functional teams to redesign content frameworks, achieving record-breaking traffic growth through scalable editorial strategies. His analyses dissect market sentiment, investment strategies, and price predictions, blending macroeconomic trends with real-world trading expertise. Known for mentoring analysts and optimizing workflows for high-impact reporting, Akash’s work is cited across global crypto publications, reaching 500k+ monthly readers. Follow his insights on YouTube, X, and LinkedIn for cutting-edge perspectives on decentralized ecosystems and crypto innovation.

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