Bitcoin Crash Incoming? Tom Lee Backs Peter Brandt’s 50% Decline Prediction Despite Strong ETF Inflows

BitMine’s Tom Lee and veteran trader Peter Brandt have both warned of a potential 50% correction in BTC. This has led to speculation of a possible Bitcoin crash despite record inflows into its ETFs.

Tom Lee Warns Bitcoin Could Still Halve in Value

In a recent interview with crypto investor Anthony Pompliano, Tom Lee, chairman of BitMine and head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, cautioned that Bitcoin remains highly volatile despite its strong inflows.

“I’m sure there will be 50% drawdowns,” Lee said. He emphasized that crypto remains a high-beta asset, amplifying stock market movements. 

He explained that while the S&P 500 has seen several 20–25% pullbacks in recent years, the coin’s historical tendency is to move roughly twice as much. “If the S&P is down 20%, Bitcoin could be down 40%,” he added.

Lee’s comments come as some analysts argue that the spot Bitcoin ETFs could make the market more stable over time. Notably, BTC ETFs recorded $20 million in net inflows, while Ethereum saw net outflows of $128 million.

As CoinGape previously reported, Peter Brandt drew parallels between BTC’s current chart structure and the 1977 soybean crash. This was a historical event that saw agricultural commodity prices collapse by more than 50%. According to Peter Brandt, the coin is showing signs of forming a similar broadening top pattern that preceded that dramatic decline.

He also added that Strategy’s stock (MSTR), which holds billions in BTC, could face major downside if the Bitcoin crash materializes.

A 50% fall from current levels near $110,000 would bring the token down to around $55,000. This revisits prices last seen in September 2024.

Lee Maintains a Broader Bullish Outlook

While Tom Lee acknowledges the likelihood of a Bitcoin crash, he remains fundamentally bullish on the crypto market. Lee recently backed an Ethereum rally projection to $5,500.

Meanwhile, BitMine has reportedly added over 379,000 ETH worth roughly $1.5 billion over the past week. This brought its total holdings to more than 3 million ETH, or around 2.5% of the total supply. The company has set its sights on controlling 5% of Ethereum’s circulating supply.

However, both Tom Lee and Peter Brandt agree that another Bitcoin crash cannot be ruled out, especially if equity markets correct.

It is also worth noting that a Standard Chartered analyst projected a short-term decline for BTC driven by trade-war concerns. He also emphasized that any dip would likely be temporary. He noted that such a pullback could present a strong buying opportunity for investors.