Highlights
The Bitcoin ETF flows were once again in positive territory during the last week, with a total of $485 million in inflows. However, the pace of the BTC ETF inflows has slowed down with many questioning whether will it help Bitcoin continue its rally upwards to $100,000.
Despite the Bitcoin price correction from its all-time high to now under $70,000, the trading volumes for Bitcoin ETFs continue to remain high.
According to on-chain data provider Santiment, trading volume has remained robust even four weeks after Bitcoin’s all-time high. Notably, across various platforms such as GBTC, IBIT, FBTC, ARKB, BTCO, BITB, and HODL, trader activity continues to surpass levels observed since late February, indicating sustained market engagement since then.
With the approaching April 19th halving event, it is widely anticipated that this heightened activity will persist. However, there is speculation regarding the potential for a decline in both ETF volume and on-chain volume immediately following the halving, prompting interest in observing post-halving market dynamics.
The continuous demand for BTC-spot ETFs serves as a bullish indicator for BTC, especially as the Bitcoin halving event approaches within the next ten days. The imminent reduction in supply combined with the persistent demand from the BTC-spot ETF market could potentially drive BTC prices toward $80,000.
However, the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy remains a significant factor influencing BTC-spot ETF market dynamics. Changes in US economic indicators could impact demand for BTC, particularly in response to potential Fed interest rate adjustments. This week, US inflation data releases are anticipated to influence market expectations regarding a possible Fed interest rate change in June.
BTC remained comfortably above both the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, confirming bullish price indications. A BTC surge past the $70,000 mark could provide bullish momentum, potentially challenging the previous all-time high (ATH) of $73,808 reached on March 14. If the ATH is surpassed, the $75,000 level could become a target for the bulls.
Market observers should closely monitor BTC-spot ETF market flow data, US economic indicators, and statements from the Federal Reserve on Monday. On the other hand, a decline in BTC below the $69,000 support level may indicate a potential drop toward the $64,000 support level.
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