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Bitcoin, ETH, XRP, SOL’s Max Pain Price Ahead of Options Expiry, Key Jobs Data

Traders brace for Bitcoin, Ethereum (ETH), XRP, Solana (SOL) options expiry, while awaiting key nonfarm payrolls jobs and unemployment data.
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Bitcoin, ETH, XRP, SOL’s Max Pain Price Ahead of Options Expiry, Key Jobs Data

Highlights

  • $3.28 billion in Bitcoin options and $1.28 billion in Ethereum options to expire on Deribit.
  • Bitcoin and Ethereum trades below their max pain point amid significant profit booking.
  • Traders eye US nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate data on Friday for market recovery.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other altcoins are facing pullbacks amid continued profit booking in the broader crypto market. Traders are bracing for further selloffs ahead of $4.5 billion in crypto options expiry and key U.S. jobs data this week.

BTC, ETH, XRP, and SOL prices slip amid liquidations of $115 million in long positions by traders. In addition, rising long-term Treasury yields and gold prices due to fiscal concerns increased selling pressure on Bitcoin price.

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$3.28 Billion in Bitcoin Options Expiry

According to Deribit, more than 29K BTC options with a notional value of $3.28 billion are set to expire on Friday. The put-call ratio is 1.39, which is extremely high and indicates bearish sentiment among traders.

Moreover, the max pain price is at $112,000. Derbit revealed that puts have clustered around $105K-110K strike price, with most traders betting on a Bitcoin price fall below $105,000.

Bitcoin Max Pain Price. Source: Deribit

Analyst Caleb Franzen revealed that Bitcoin broke below its daily Ichimoku cloud for the first time since February 2025, potentially flipping it into resistance. Historical seasonality patterns are playing a key role in bearish sentiment for Bitcoin, with bearish crossover on the weekly MACD.  

Bitcoin Breaks Below Daily Ichimoku Cloud. Source: Caleb Franzen
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$1.28 Billion in Ethereum Options Expiry

Over 293K ETH options with a notional value of $1.28 billion are set to expire on Deribit, with a put-call ratio of 0.78. This indicates mixed sentiment among traders due to a neutral put-call ratio.

Moreover, the max pain price is at $4,400, higher than the current market price of $4,385 at the time of writing. This signals. Options traders are watching three key levels of $4,500, $4,700, and $5,000.

Bitcoin Max Pain Price. Source: Deribit

“Flows lean more balanced, but calls build up above $4.5K, leaving upside optionality,” said Deribit. Trading volume could support upside momentum and confirm a recovery towards a new ATH.

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XRP and Solana Max Pain Price

XRP options worth $5.54 million to expire, with a put-call ratio of 0.93. The max pain price is at $2.90, indicating the key level to watch as the crypto asset remains under pressure amid deeper negative XRP whale flow.

XRP price today is trading sideways near $2.83, with an intraday low and high of $2.82 and $2.88, respectively. Moreover, trading volume has declined by 34% in the last 24 hours, indicating low interest among traders.

Meanwhile, $29.87 million in Solana options to expire, with a put-call ratio of 0.32. The max pain price is at $200, lower than the current market price of $207.

SOL price is trading 0.60% down in the last 24 hours, with a 24-hour low and high of $205.88 and $212.82, respectively. Trading volume has plunged 38% over the last 24 hours, indicating a lack of interest ahead key jobs report.

Investors Eye Jobs Data for Recovery

JOLTS Job Openings data in the United States earlier this week triggered a slight rebound in the crypto market. Traders now await the key August nonfarm payrolls data release and unemployment rate data on Friday.

Nonfarm payrolls data is expected to come in at 75K, higher than 73K  in the previous month. Moreover, economists forecast the unemployment rate rising to 4.3%, up from 4.2% previously. If nonfarm payrolls data comes in lower-than-expected and the unemployment rate prints at 4.3%, the crypto market will recover.

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Varinder Singh

Varinder is a seasoned leader in the fintech and crypto media with over 12 years of experience, including over 6 years dedicated to blockchain, crypto, and Web3 developments. He is known for covering high-impact and quality news stories for publishers such as CoinGape, The Coin Republic, and The Crypto Times, while perfecting and training multiple journalists during his tenure. Being a Master of Technology degree holder, analytics thinker, and tech enthusiast, he has shared his knowledge of disruptive technologies in over 5000 news articles and papers.

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