NewsletterBitcoin Halving Diverges from Past Trends, Galaxy Reports
Highlights
- Galaxy Digital notes a deviation from historical Bitcoin halving trends, with Bitcoin not reaching new all-time highs post-halving.
- The firm highlights the impact of the introduction of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in January.
- Mike Novogratz emphasizes the urgency of addressing the U.S. debt deficit through spending cuts and increased taxes on the wealthy.
Billionaire Mike Novogratz‘s firm Galaxy Digital has released some thoughts about the coming Bitcoin halving event. The firm identifies a shift from historic patterns. Generally, Bitcoin would break its earlier highs after a halving. However, this trend has changed. Galaxy Digital analyses the way the Bitcoin halving event is altering.
Galaxy Digital Notes Shift in Bitcoin Halving Trend
Galaxy Digital highlights that, unlike previous cycles, Bitcoin didn’t reach an all-time high following the latest halving. Bitcoin hit $73,737 on March 14, just before the forthcoming halving, when miners ‘rewards fell from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. That is now 5.9% lower—8 days prior to the halving. This particular circumstance contrasts sharply with the post-halving surges of the past.
On the morning of halving on 11 May 2020, Bitcoin had been trading at about $9,000. It reached a high of $69,000 in November 2021, the conclusion of the previous bear market. Galaxy Digital thinks the January launch of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) might have altered market conditions. These ETFs produced a brand-new demand anchor that drives Bitcoin price behavior in an alternative manner to previous halving events.
Mike Novogratz Links US Debt to Bitcoin Investment
The commentary additionally deals with bigger economic problems Novogratz addresses, such as the U.S. debt deficit. He wants substantial cuts in federal spending and greater taxes of the wealthy to help manage the mounting national debt. The national debt currently is $44 trillion; with no intervention, it may climb to $37 trillion. “This economic course demonstrates why Bitcoin must be considered an investment asset as financial instability increases,” Novogratz states.
The adoption of Bitcoin ETFs further stimulates the debate on Bitcoin’s worth. “These financial solutions have sparked a new wave of interest in cryptocurrency,” Coinbase states. Although the previous halving sample size is tiny and, therefore, predictions aren’t always true, business executives are hopeful. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse actually predicted Bitcoin might hit $5 trillion in value this year.
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