Bitcoin Price Analysis: The BTC/USD Falling Wedge Scenario, Why $10k and $10.5k Are The Bigger Picture?

Over the last couple of weeks, Bitcoin has been struggling to break the psychological hurdle at $10,000. Glancing higher, a short-lived rally in the first week of June saw its momentum fizzle out marginally above $10,400, leaving $10,500 untested and definitely unconquered. Meanwhile, in this same month, BTC/USD has tumbled, testing support at $9,300. The recovery that ensued has not been strong enough to catapult Bitcoin past $9,600.

The BTC/USD Daily Chart Analysis

Bitcoin price is trading at $9,321 in the wake of a 0.57% loss. Support has since been established at $9,300 after Thursday attempt to stick above $9,400 failed to yield as expected. Generally, the prevailing trend for the leading cryptocurrency is bearish. The good thing is that volatility is low, therefore, rapid price actions remain limited.

A closer look at the chart shows that Bitcoin has a bearish inclination mainly supported by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The RSI has a slightly negative gradient, which means that buying pressure is not absent; probably the reason why Bitcoin has stayed above $9,300 despite the loss from levels above $9,400. The MACD also puts emphasis on the existent of bullish pressure but of course, only to some extent. The MACD also features a bearish divergence that highlights a growing bearish grip.

BTC/USD daily chart

The Falling Wedge Scenario

Since yesterday, we have been looking keenly at this falling wedge pattern; currently the only ‘saving grace’ for the bulls’ mission of breaking $10,000 and $10,500. Bitcoin is dealing with the high congestion of sellers at the descending trendline. The breakout above this line is the only factor I anticipate to catapult Bitcoin past $10,000 towards $10,500.

Bitcoin Key Intraday Levels

Spot rate: $9,321

Relative change: -62

Percentage change: -0.57%

Trend: bearish

Volatility: Low