Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Price Could Drop 6% To $44,637

Bitcoin price dropped below the $50,000 psychological level on December 04, unravelling a possible bearish forecast. This provided a buying opportunity for investors who bought the dip, but the uptrend hit a wall and got stopped at the middle boundary of the descending parallel channel. This chart pattern continues to govern BTC’s price action pointing to further losses.

Bitcoin Price Bears Contemplate A 6 Decline To $44,637

Bitcoin price fell below the $50,000 psychological level on December 04, paving the way for further losses. The bulls of the pioneer cryptocurrency attempted to undo the losses in three straight bullish sessions between December 05 and 07, but the price action halted at the middle boundary of the governing chart pattern.

Bitcoin price is trading below the middle boundary of the descending parallel channel around $47,610 as seen on the daily chart. A descending parallel channel is a significantly bearish chart pattern that suggests a continued bearish leg as long as the price of an asset remains within the confines of the falling channel.

If Bitcoin price fails to rise above the middle boundary of the falling channel at $49,105, it may drop towards the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) around $46.588. A further drop past this level could see BTC/USD drop to tag the lower boundary of the channel at $44,637, a 6.37% drop from the current price.

BTC/USD Daily Chart

The down-sloping moving averages and the entry of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator into the oversold region suggest that Bitcoin is firmly in the hands of the bears, accentuating this bearish outlook.

In addition, the position of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator below the zero line in the negative region suggests that Bitcoin’s market momentum is bearish at the moment. Moreover, the parabolic SAR is still negative and above the price, accentuating the bearish outlook.

Looking over the Fence

On the upside, Bitcoin’s bearish thesis could be invalidated if the bulls overcome the immediate resistance at $48,500. If this happens, Bitcoin price rise above the $53,572 resistance embraced by the upper boundary of the governing channel. This move may see the big crypto completely reverse the  losses that began on December 04.

A movement further up could take BTC towards the $54,600 and $59,190 levels embraced by the 100- and 50-day SMAs respectively.