Since the approval of the Bitcoin ETF last week, the world’s largest cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, has been encountering selling pressure. It has observed its most extended losing streak in the past month, closing negatively for four consecutive days. At the current press time, the Bitcoin price is experiencing a 0.22% decline, trading at $42,557 levels, with a market cap of $834 billion.
In the aftermath of the debut of nearly a dozen ETFs, featuring major players like BlackRock Inc. and Fidelity Investments, Bitcoin experienced a brief surge to a two-year high surpassing $49,000. However, the subsequent downturn appears to align with the anticipated “buy-the-rumor, sell-the-fact reaction,” as noted by Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG Australia Pty. Based on chart patterns, Sycamore envisions a potential decline to the $38,000 to $40,000 range for Bitcoin.
According to Bloomberg Intelligence’s senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas, the newly launched US spot funds garnered a net inflow of $819 million during the initial two days of trading. Notably, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust attracted $500 million, while the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund secured $422 million.
On the flip side, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, with a massive $26 billion in assets and the largest in its category, witnessed significant outflows totaling $579 million after its conversion into an ETF last week. The fund’s previous closed-ended structure, coupled with trading at a discount to its underlying holdings last year, had prompted speculation on the narrowing of the gap, impacting the recent fund outflows.
Renowned crypto analyst Ali Martinez shared insights on Bitcoin’s current trajectory, noting the adherence to a discernible parallel channel. Martinez suggests that Bitcoin encountered resistance around the upper boundary of the channel, situated at $48,000.
Consequently, the projection indicates a retracement for Bitcoin, targeting the lower boundary at $34,000. Following this retracement, a subsequent rebound is anticipated, with Bitcoin aiming to revisit the upper boundary at $57,000. This analysis provides a perspective on potential price movements within the identified channel.
Besides, Martinez also highlighted a notable development in the Bitcoin Miners’ Position Index (MPI), revealing a spike to 9.43 on January 12. The elevated MPI suggests that miners engaged in a higher-than-usual volume of Bitcoin ($BTC) movements, implying a potential inclination toward sales.
Despite a recent correction in Bitcoin price, Martinez advises vigilance, emphasizing that additional selling by miners has the potential to exert further downward pressure on prices. This insight underscores the importance of monitoring miner activity as a potential influence on the broader Bitcoin market. However, some Bitcoin enthusiasts see the Bitcoin price dip as an additional buying opportunity for targets of $200K.
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