Is BlackRock Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) Biggest Outflow Early Signs Of Bitcoin Price Crash?

Highlights

BlackRock Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) has recorded its highest outflow ever since launch on December 24.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U,S. saw fourth consecutive outflow, with $1.5 billion outflow in total.
Bitcoin price has recovered over $99K today.

BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) recorded its largest-ever $188.7 million in outflow on Tuesday, raising concerns among investors. Also, US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs saw consecutive outflows for the fourth day as Fidelity’s FBTC and Ark Invest’s ARKB continued weak performance amid holidays. Bitcoin ETFs have now recorded over $1.5 billion in outflow in the last 4 days. Are these signs of an upcoming market crash, let’s see.

BlackRock Bitcoin ETF Records Largest-Ever Outflow

The crypto market showed signs of recovery as Bitcoin, Ethereum and other altcoins rebounded over the last 24 hours. Bitcoin price recovered from $94K to $99K today likely as traders FOMO Santa Claus rally. BTC currently holds above $98K, but a change in sentiment in this market can trigger sudden profit booking.

The promising factors for the change in sentiment could come from BlackRock Bitcoin ETF, which recorded its largest-ever outflow since launch on Tuesday, as per Farside Investors data on December 25. iShares Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) witnessed $188.7 million in outflow, almost double its previous largest outflow of $72.7 million last Friday.

The total outflow from US spot Bitcoin ETFs was $338.4 million, the fourth consecutive outflow. Fidelity’s FBTC saw $83.2 million and Ark 21Shares’ ARKB recorded $75 million in outflows. The flows for other crypto exchange-traded funds were negligible.

This has sparked slight concerns among traders as the year-end crypto options expiry looms. While analysts and investors are primarily bullish, the recent prediction by experts including BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes about a potential crypto market crash near Donald Trump’s inauguration day and Bitcoin following M2 money supply sparked sell-offs.

However, crypto firms such as MicroStrategy, Metaplanet, Matador Technologies, and others buy the Bitcoin price dip. In fact, MicroStrategy’s Michael Saylor announced a special shareholder meeting to vote on a proposal for its 21/21 Bitcoin plan. Saylor plans to issue more shares to buy more bitcoins.

What’s Next for Bitcoin Price?

BlackRock Bitcoin ETF’s largest-ever outflow and consecutive outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs made investors to think about their next move. At present, Coinglass data indicates mixed reactions from spot and derivatives markets.

Crypto analyst Skew revealed that the current passive ask liquidity is around $100K given quoting and previous LTF high, which is an important price area. Besides, ask liquidity and spot supply is around $105K. He believes flows and volatility will be a key factor here.

“Dynamic use of taker & limit bid for acquiring BTC here, likely a strategic play by some large market entity that expects higher prices into year end & early Q1.”

BTC price jumped 5% in the past 24 hours, with the price currently trading at $98,014. The 24-hour low and high are $93,744 and $99,404, respectively. Furthermore, the trading volume has decreased by 24% in the last 24 hours, indicating low trading activity amid Christmas.

Traders must keep an eye on volume and sentiment in the market for cues on direction in upcoming days, with BlackRock Bitcoin ETF also a major factor. Notably, 147 BTC options with $14.40 billion in notional value to expire on Deribit this Friday. The max pain price is $84,000 and put-call ratio is 0.68.

BTC Open Interest By Strike Price — Source: Deribit

TAGS
Bitcoin (BTC) Price

Recommended
Price Analysis

Best Crypto Presales To Invest In September 2025 – Top Upcoming Presale Tokens

Best Crypto AI Trading Bots In 2025

Top Meme Coins To Buy In September 2025

Varinder Singh

Varinder has over 10 years of experience and is known as a seasoned leader for his involvement in the fintech sector. With over 5 years dedicated to blockchain, crypto, and Web3 developments, he has experienced two Bitcoin halving events making him key opinion leader in the space. At CoinGape Media, Varinder leads the editorial decisions, spearheading the news team to cover latest updates, markets trends and developments within the crypto industry. The company was recognized as Best Crypto Media Company 2024 for high impact and quality reporting. Being a Master of Technology degree holder, analytics thinker, technology enthusiast, Varinder has shared his knowledge of disruptive technologies in over 5000+ news, articles, and papers.

Why trust CoinGape: CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights to our readers. Our journalists and analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.

Ad Disclosure: This site may feature sponsored content and affiliate links. All advertisements are clearly labeled, and ad partners have no influence over our editorial content.