BlackRock Bitcoin ETF Inflows Hit Speedbreaker As US Election Odds Shift

On Friday, the total inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs finally hit a speedbreaker as the dynamic of the US elections shifted just three days before the results. Kamala Harris seems to be taking the lead in some of the swing states while Donald Trump continues to lead in others. All of the nine BTC ETFs yesterday, saw net outflows of $55 million with the BlackRock Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) seeing zero inflows for the first time in nearly a month.

BlackRock Bitcoin ETF Inflows Hit Speedbreaker

This week, except Friday, BlackRock’s IBIT led the most inflows contributing nearly around $2.2 billion so far. It has been single-handedly dominating the BTC ETF inflows in the last month of October.

However, on Friday, the spot Bitcoin ETF inflows hit a speedbreaker with $54.9 million in outflows. Fidelity reported $25.6 million in outflows, followed by ARK with $24.1 million, per Farside Investors data. On the other hand, the BlackRock Bitcoin ETF registered zero inflows for the first time in the past several trading sessions. This signals a possible pause in the demand after record-breaking contributions.

The spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen significant inflows and now hold more than 5% of the total BTC supply, surpassing 1 million Bitcoin holdings. Interestingly, BlackRock’s IBIT alone holds 2% of the total supply.

💥BREAKING: Yesterday the Spot #Bitcoin ETF saw $54.94 MILLION outflow! pic.twitter.com/kUEF6icGf6

— Crypto Rover (@rovercrc) November 2, 2024

Furthermore, Friday’s outflows coincide with a shift in the US election dynamics as Kamala Harris once again gains ground in the swing states.  Thus, investors could be taking a wait-and-watch approach moving ahead.

Is Donald Trump Losing Ground?

As per the Polymarket data, the odds of Doland Trump victory slipped 4.5 percentage points on Friday, with his overall winning prediction now at 58.1% while Kamala Harris has gained the same amount moving to 41.9%.

As a result, the broader crypto market has paused waiting for some clear indications for the further move. After moving all the way to $73,000 earlier this week, the Bitcoin price has once again dropped under $70,000 as of October closing.

Popular crypto analyst Ki Young Ju noted that ETF flows would be crucial for Bitcoin to gain further highs. He wrote:

“Stablecoins alone can’t provide enough buy-side liquidity for Bitcoin. The BTC-to-stablecoin ratio is 6.05, meaning BTC reserves are six times higher than stablecoins, similar to the last ATH. ETF flows and Coinbase USD liquidity will be crucial for the next few months”.

Apart from Bitcoin, altcoins have also been under a bit of selling pressure with the Ethereum (ETH) price slipping to $2,500 as bulls fail to gain enough traction.