Highlights
The crypto market experienced a wild ride last week, influenced by major political developments. This week, key macroeconomic events and regulatory updates are likely to shape the market’s direction.
Here are the top 5 events to watch:
As pointed out by The Kobeissi Letter, the crypto market is poised to be shaped by major developments this week. Last week, the crypto market saw a significant uptick with major tokens like Bitcoin and Ethereum hitting critical price points. One of the key catalysts for the uptrend was the much-hyped US-UK trade deal.
Interestingly, this week will take the spotlight, with market participants eagerly awaiting these key events like the CPI Inflation data, the SEC roundtable conference, the PPI Inflation data, the Fed Chair Powell speech, and the consumer sentiment data to gauge their impact on the crypto market’s trajectory.
Notably, the April Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, excluding food and energy, is set to be released on May 13 (Tuesday). While this is a key inflation gauge, the report will significantly influence the crypto market. If the report reveals lower-than-expected data, the Fed is likely to reduce interest rates, a positive indicator for the crypto market. On the other hand, if the CPI report shows higher inflation, there’s a greater chance of an interest rate hike.
The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has scheduled its roundtable conference on May 13, with Chair Paul Atkins expected to deliver a keynote address on asset tokenization. Other influential participants include Richard B. Gabbert and Hester Peirce. The major addenda of the meeting will be to explore the opportunities of the integration of traditional finance (TradFi) with decentralized finance (DeFi). This event has the potential to impact the crypto market.
The Producer Price Index (PPI) report for April is scheduled for May 15, Thursday. This event will provide insights into input costs for producers and manufacturers, measuring the cost of producing consumer goods. In addition to the CPI report, this key inflation indicator will also influence the Fed’s decisions on monetary policy, thus impacting the crypto market.
On May 15, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected to deliver a crucial speech, which is highly anticipated for clues on the central bank’s current stance on economic conditions and monetary policy. His critical comments and tone, whether dovish or hawkish, could significantly impact the future trends of the crypto market. It is noteworthy that the US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently urged the Fed to reduce the rate.
While the Retail Sales Data for April is expected on Thursday, the MI Consumer Sentiment Data is anticipated on Friday. Higher-than-expected retail sales could signal a robust economy, potentially leading to increased interest rates to curb inflation and vice versa. At the same time, a higher-than-expected consumer sentiment reading could indicate growing economic confidence, potentially driving stock prices up and crypto market prices down.
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