Ethereum Bitcoin Ratio Drops to Record Low, What Next for ETH Price?
Highlights
- Ethereum's loss against BTC is amplified over the past 5 years
- Slow chain adoption and bearish embrace in spot ETF market has impacted Ethereum's outlook
- The coming Pectra upgrade holds sway over future performance of ETH
The world’s second-largest digital asset, Ethereum (ETH), struggles to keep up with Bitcoin. Market data shows that the ETH/BTC ratio has dropped to its lowest level in five years. Consequently, investors and analysts are now questioning whether Ethereum can recover in the coming quarter, considering Bitcoin may continue its long-standing domination in the digital assets market.
The Ethereum Bitcoin Ratio At New Lows
ETH performed poorly compared to Bitcoin in the first quarter of 2025. According to a recent update from The Kobeissi Letter, the Ethereum to Bitcoin ratio has dropped to 0.02, its lowest level since December 2020.
Historically, Ethereum has gained strength after Bitcoin halvings, but the trend has reversed. While Bitcoin price is going upward, Ethereum has struggled to gain traction.
Several factors have contributed to this decline. Bitcoin’s narrative as digital gold has strengthened, drawing more institutional investment. In addition, the coin has faced challenges, including relatively higher gas fees and competition from other blockchain networks.
Unfortunately, the Ethereum Pectra upgrade, which experts believe could drive a price increase for the coin, faced some challenges. As reported by CoinGape, multiple testnet attempts failed before the Hoodi testnet that launched recently.
Some experts believe Ethereum’s transition to proof-of-stake has not delivered the expected market boost.
Q1 Performance and ETF Downturn
The ETH price performance in the first quarter of 2025 has been disappointing. For context, data shows that the coin has dropped 46% this year, nearly 4 times more than Bitcoin’s decline of 12%.
Many investors expected a strong bull run, but Ethereum has remained weak. The adoption of spot Bitcoin ETFs earlier in the year attracted billions of dollars, but Ethereum has not seen the same level of interest for its potential ETF.
Market analysts suggest that institutional investors are still hesitant about Ethereum’s long-term value compared to Bitcoin. Bitcoin’s fixed supply and reputation as a hedge against inflation have made it a safer choice for institutional investors.
Where is ETH Price Heading?
Some analysts believe ETH price could hit $10,000 if broader market conditions improve and the Ethereum Pectra upgrade launches on the mainnet.
Others warn that if the coin continues to lose value against Bitcoin, investors may start shifting funds to other networks like Solana or Avalanche.
Even though short-term price predictions remain speculative, some traders expect Ethereum to rebound as Bitcoin stabilizes. Others believe the ETH/BTC ratio could drop even further.
As of this publication, CoinMarketCap data shows that Ethereum’s price was $1,842.29, up 1.34% in the last 24 hours. Many experts believe that the coming days will determine whether Ethereum can regain strength or whether Bitcoin’s dominance will continue to grow.
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