Crypto News

Is Bitcoin Price Bottom In? Key Metrics Show $200,000 Prediction Is Likely

Short term Bitcoin holders are not losing as much as other bull cycle selloffs, affirming sentiments that BTC price rally is likely
Published by
Is Bitcoin Price Bottom In? Key Metrics Show $200,000 Prediction Is Likely

Highlights

  • Bitcoin volatility is thinning amid milder losses from short term holders
  • The Global M2 is rising, institutional adoption growing, setting BTC up for growth
  • Bitcoin price might have bottomed out but bull case price target remain unknown

Bitcoin (BTC) price volatility is slowing down as the coin’s capitulation continues. At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price was changing hands for $84,278.83 as it pared off the losses accrued in earlier trading. At this pace, the question now hinges on whether BTC can form sustainable support at the $84,000 price mark or whether further drawdown lies ahead.

Advertisement

Core Bitcoin Price Metric to Watch

According to Glassnode data, BTC Short-Term Holders (STH) are under increasing pressure. This group’s unrealized losses have surged, pushing many STH coins into losses. As revealed, their holdings are now nearing the two-standard deviation threshold. 

Despite this outlook, the data platform hinted that losses remain within historical bull market bounds. Specifically, it noted that these losses are less severe than the May 2021 sell-off from the all-time high. Glassnode said the rolling 30-day losses for STH have topped $7 billion. It confirmed that “this remains well below prior capitulation events, such as the $19.8B and $20.7B losses in 2021-22.”

BTC price jumped to an ATH above $109,000 in January but has since dropped by 22.79%. While experts predicted a drop of over 35%, the limited loss from holders can form a good rebound basis.

Advertisement

BTC Price Bottom In, Here Are Triggers for Rally

Over the past week, Bitcoin has rallied within very tight price ranges, from a low of $81,300 to a high of $87,320. Some market observers believe the coin has attained its floor price and might be set for a rebound.

While firms like Strategy have kept Bitcoin purchase plans alive with Strife’s perpetual stock offering, the Global Money Supply M2 also lays a positive basis for growth. With the current outlook, the projection that the $83,00 level is the BTC price floor is resounding among analysts.

The shift in regulation and the backing of Bitcoin by President Donald Trump creates a tailwind for the coin’s proponents. At the Digital Asset Summit earlier this week, President Trump reiterated the plan to make the US the crypto capital of the world.

Several government agencies have shifted their policies in this regard, which might attract investors in the long term.

Advertisement

How High Can Bitcoin Valuation Rise?

Despite the slowdown in growth in recent weeks, many market leaders are still confident in the coin’s prospects. As reported earlier by CoinGape, Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan maintained the price target of $1 million by 2029. He cited a longer-term reaction to macroeconomic uncertainties as the basis for his prediction.

While this Bitcoin price prediction appears lofty, others believe Bitcoin may cross $200,000 once the bull rally returns. With spot Bitcoin ETF hype and other growing institutional adoption, BTC price has an arguably bright future.

Advertisement
Share
Godfrey Benjamin

Benjamin Godfrey is a blockchain enthusiast and journalists who relish writing about the real life applications of blockchain technology and innovations to drive general acceptance and worldwide integration of the emerging technology. His desires to educate people about cryptocurrencies inspires his contributions to renowned blockchain based media and sites. Benjamin Godfrey is a lover of sports and agriculture. Follow him on X, Linkedin

Published by
Why trust CoinGape: CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights to our readers. Our journalists and analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
Ad Disclosure: This site may feature sponsored content and affiliate links. All advertisements are clearly labeled, and ad partners have no influence over our editorial content.

Recent Posts

  • Crypto News

BOJ Hikes Interest Rates to 30-Year High, Will Bitcoin Repeat 20-30% Post-Hike Crashes?

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) raises its interest rates by 25 bps to 0.75%, the…

December 19, 2025
  • Crypto News

Breaking: U.S. Senate Delays CLARITY Act again, Crypto Market Structure Vote Slips to Early 2026

The CLARITY Act is no longer expected to pass the U.S. Senate this year. Lawmakers…

December 19, 2025
  • Crypto News

Breaking: Bitwise Files S-1 For SUI ETF With U.S. SEC

Crypto ETF issuer Bitwise is looking to add a SUI ETF to its growing list…

December 18, 2025
  • Crypto News

Crypto Hacks 2025: North Korean Hackers Steal over $2B in ETH and SOL This Year

In 2025, crypto hacks increased significantly. The cybercriminals associated with the North Korean government stole…

December 18, 2025
  • Crypto News

Universal Exchange Bitget Removes Barriers to Traditional Markets, Offers Forex and Gold Trading to Crypto Users

The number one universal exchange Bitget is removing barriers between crypto and traditional finance. It…

December 18, 2025
  • Crypto News

Breaking: U.S. CPI Inflation Falls To 2.7% YoY, Bitcoin Price Climbs

The U.S. CPI inflation came in well below expectations, providing a bullish outlook for Bitcoin…

December 18, 2025