Highlights
Shiba Inu (SHIB) price is rangebound in a tight accumulation zone after breaking out of a downtrend. With a massive spike in exchange outflow, the chances of an explosive SHIB rally are not unlikely. Here are some key levels to watch where investors can accumulate this dog-based meme coin..
Data from CryptoQuant suggests total SHIB transactions also increased from 6,200 to 7,510. Yet despite the surge in activity, the token’s price remained unmoved.
Historically, a divergence like this with a spike in transaction count and flat price action points to one of two scenarios – accumulation or distribution. An accompanying chart of SHIB’s exchange netflow underscores a bullish case (accumulation).
Shiba Inu posted a negative exchange netflow of 111.8 billion tokens on May 20, suggesting a large-scale transfer of the asset from exchanges into self-custody or cold wallets. This behavior from investors typically signals confidence and long-term holding ability. Hence, this bullish development aligns with the aforementioned spike in the transaction count metric.
SHIB is trading at $0.00001428 and is trending within a consolidation phase after breaking out of the multi-week downtrend. This range extends from $0.xxxx to $0.xxxxx and could be hinting at a potential bottom.
In such a case, the next phase of the uptrend involves a rally to $0.00001527, where Shiba Inu’s price will most likely slip into consolidation. This development is reminiscent of an uptrend, where the asset’s price enters a brief accumulation phase after an explosive move to the upside.
A decisive daily candlestick close above $0.00001527 could trigger a bullish breakout — and based on previous price cycles, a 108% rally to $0.00003175 is not off the table.
While the bulls paint a compelling market structure, there are various red flags that could signal a potential downside. The lack of volume and failure to clear the $0.00001527 resistance zone decisively may suggest a bull trap, where early buyers get trapped above current prices, thereby increasing the risk of selling.
In such a case, a breakdown of the $0.00001082 support level will invalidate the bullish thesis and potentially catalyze a crash to $0.00001000 or lower.
Derivatives data by Coinglass indicates a 6% uptick in SHIB’s open interest, suggesting traders are still engaging with the meme coin. In addition, the funding rates have remained predominantly positive, indicating that traders are willing to pay a premium to maintain long positions.
If buyers can sustain momentum past the major price hurdle of $0.0001527, Shiba Inu price could resume the uptrend it started in April and rally by 108%. The whale volume, exchange outflows and this technical analysis support a bullish Shiba Inu price forecast. Therefore, if everything plays out as expected, a rally will finally play out.
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