Sign Up on MEXC
Highlights
- Bitcoin dives further below $70,000 as US CPI data triggers volatility.
- The RSI solidifies Wednesday’s correction, hinting at a larger breakdown toward $60,000.
- The 200-day EMA at $66,714 is in line to prevent further losses, while encouraging traders to buy the dip.
The volatility in the market today caused a lot of panic as investors rushed to sell Bitcoin aiming to buy again at lower price levels. Behind the correction in Bitcoin price to $67500 was majorly the hotter than anticipated inflation in the US. According to the CPI report, the country has a long way to go before starting rate cuts and an even longer time to achieve the set 2% inflation goal.
Top altcoins posted larger dips led by Solana’s 6% to $165, Ethereum’s 5.5% to $3,440 and XRP’s 4.7% to $0.6 mirroring the pullback in BTC price.
This analysis aims to delve into key factors that may trigger a larger sell-off in BTC price over the next couple of weeks.
1. Hotter Than Expected Inflation Leaves Bitcoin Price Vulnerable To Volatility
If the reaction to the rising inflation in the US, which topped 3.5% annually based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report weakens the general investor outlook, BTC price might sweep fresh liquidity towards $60,000 before halving occurs around April 17.
The inflation sprint beat market expectations of 3.4%, further dwarfing the previous month’s figure of 3.2%. Market watchers relied heavily on the inflation numbers in March to foresee the Federal Reserve’s projection of interest rate cuts in the year.
Due to the unceasing inflation rise, economists have been forced to look as far as June to September for the initial rate cut. According to a report on the US CPI by CoinGape, the Fed’s goal of achieving an inflation rate of 2% seems a distant dream.
Moreover, interest rates will likely remain elevated over the coming months, increasing the cost of borrowing money for businesses and individuals while generally shrinking spendable incomes and investments in risk assets like Bitcoin, crypto, and stocks.
In March alone, inflation rose by 0.4% on a seasonally adjusted basis. Note that the CPI increased by 3.5% over 12 months prior to the seasonality adjustment.
2. Bitcoin ETF Uptake Slows As Net Outflows Soar
After a magnificent start, Bitcoin ETFs have recently struggled to sustain a positive outlook. As reported in the Bitcoin price forecast on Tuesday, net outflows continue to characterize the sector. According to SoSoValue, the daily total net outflow volume was $19.48 million as of April 9.
Grayscale recorded the largest net single-day outflow of $154.92 million while BlackRock led in daily net inflow volume with $128.67 million. So far, the cumulative total net inflow volume stands at $12.37 billion as highlighted by crypto reporter Wu Blockchain.
On April 9, the total net outflow of Bitcoin spot ETFs was $19.48 million. Grayscale ETF GBTC had a net outflow of $154 million on a single day, and BlackRock ETF IBIT had a net inflow of $128 million on a single day.https://t.co/npjWVH3bMi
— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) April 10, 2024
Increasing ETF inflows in February and March significantly triggered a spike in the demand for Bitcoin. This coupled with the positive market sentiment ensured that crypto prices remained elevated fuelled by BTC price surge to a new all-time high of $73,803, data by CoinGecko shows.
3. Weakening Technical Structure
Bitcoin price is seeking support at $67,500 after CPI data caused a volatility surge in the market. The coin also holds below two key moving averages, including the 50-day EMA and the 20-day EMA (red and blue lines on the chart) implying that further losses are highly likely this week.
With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropping into the neutral zone and closing in on the oversold region, it is apparent that the sellers have the upper hand.
A subtle rising wedge pattern on the chart could further drive prices lower toward $60,000 ahead of validated ahead of the halving next week. However, recovery may gain momentum if Bitcoin price respects the 200-day EMA (line in purple) to pave the way for a larger breakout above $70,000.
- Ethena Labs Secures Fresh Funding From ArkStream Capital, ENA Price Spikes
- SEC Forms International Task Force to Crack Down on Pump-and-Dump Schemes
- Justin Sun Pledges $20M Buy Following WLFI Wallet Freeze
- Expert Blames ‘Secret Committee’ for Rejecting MSTR Stock Inclusion to S&P 500
- MARA Bitcoin Treasury Nears $6 Billion, Trails Only Strategy in Public Rankings
- Chainlink Price Eyes $55 as Reserve Holdings Jump With 43,937 LINK Addition
- Cardano Price Targets 30% Surge as Top Economist Calls for Fed Cut
- ETH Price Forecast as Grayscale’s Covered Call Ethereum ETF Spurs Optimism — Is $8,500 in Sight?
- Bitcoin Price Prediction as SEC Unveils Agenda for Crypto Regulation — Is $200K Next?
- ONDO Price Prediction Amid Bitget Collaboration on Tokenized Stocks and ETFs: Is $2 Next?
