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Highlights
- Bitcoin’s exchange reserves at 10-year lows signal a potential supply squeeze.
- A bullish engulfing candle on weekly charts hints at a major reversal.
- Geopolitical calm and Trump’s intervention could fuel a risk-on rally.
Bitcoin (BTC) is defying the odds—soaring 6% in 3 days after a brutal weekend crash. With exchange volumes plunging to a 10-year low, a historic pattern is emerging: the last time this happened, BTC skyrocketed 80% in weeks. Now, as Bitcoin flirts with $107K, traders are asking: Is June the month it finally smashes its all-time high? Here are 3 explosive signals saying yes.
BTC Price Gains 6% After Weekend Crash as Investors Buy The Dips
The one-day chart shows BTC price gained 4.37% on Monday, undoing the past three days of downtrend. This was followed by a near 1% gain on Tuesday, leading to a daily close of 16,120. As of June 25, 2025, Bitcoin’s price is up 0.47% and trades at $106,618, effectively undoing 8% crash witnessed last week.
Reason 1: Exchange Volume Drops to 10-Year Low, Is ATH Next?
CryptoQuant data shows that the Daily Exchange Flow has dropped to 40,000 BTC per day, a level last seen 10 years ago. This decline in BTC on centralized exchanges is a clear signal of liquidity shortage amid rising institutional interest and spot Bitcoin ETF flows.
In 2016 and 2017, a decline in this metric signalled a bottom formation. The same was observed in late 2018 and early 2019. In both cases, Bitcoin price kickstarted a massive bull run that pushed it to new all-time highs. In 2022 and 2023, the exchange flow remained low for an extended period before the bull run resumed, pushing the BTC price to a new all-time high.
A similar outlook is now evident, with BTC reserves on exchanges remaining low since mid-2024. Therefore, if history rhymes, there is a high probability that Bitcoin price will restart its bull run to new highs.
Reason 2: Bullish Engulfing Candlestick
The weekly Bitcoin price chart shows a bullish engulfing candlestick in play. With four days left for the weekly close, investors are watching this for further confirmation of the recovery.
While the daily bitcoin price chart may seem bearish, the weekly chart shows a different picture. The mid-June drop pushed BTC price into the weekly FVG, extending from $97.9K to $100.7K, providing it with support. The resulting bounce shows promise if the weekly candlestick produces a decisive close above $105,633. This move will confirm a bullish engulfing candlestick and attract sidelined buyers.
Reasons 3: Trump’s Intervention and Pause in the Middle East Conflict
The Iran-Israel conflict caused risk-on markets, such as cryptocurrencies and stocks, to tumble. Oil took a severe hit as the Iranian parliament voted to close the Strait of Hormuz. However, the intervention of US President Donald Trump and the mutually agreed ceasefire provided the markets a short-term relief. Although the ceasefire was violated by Iran, an extended peace in the Middle East could catalyze a bull run in Bitcoin price.
Closing Thoughts
From the current price, BTC is just 5.13% uptick away from revisiting the all-time high. Coupled with bullish Bitcoin price prediction in 2025 and the engulfing candlestick possibility and drop in exchange reserves to a 10-year low, the odds are skewed in favor of bulls, hitting an ATH. Additionally, the end of the month often induces volatility and could trigger a rally for Bitcoin (BTC).
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
1. Why is Bitcoin price rebounding after the sell-off?
2. What are the signs Bitcoin could hit ATH soon?
3. How close is BTC to its all-time high?
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