Is $0.4 XRP Price Imminent? Insights from Derivative Data

The impending EMA death cross and a bearish turn in the triangle pattern indicates the XRP price could prolong correction trend to $0.4.
By Sahil Mahadik
WisdomTree Files For XRP ETF In Delaware

Highlights

  • The XRP price faced another reversal from the multi-year trendline of the triangle pattern, signaling the next major support at $0.4.
  • XRP Open Interest (OI) shows a Weighted Funding Rate of -0.0064, signaling traders are paying to hold short positions.
  • A death crossover in 50-and-200-day Exponential moving averages could accelerate the bearish momentum.

XRP price experienced a prolonged correction on Monday, dipping to a low of $0.43 during a widespread market sell-off. This intensified selling pressure was prompted by a 12% drop in Japan’s index after the Bank of Japan decided to raise interest rates to combat inflation. Although the bearish momentum eased during the U.S. trading hours, the XRP faces a 20% downside risk amid an EMA death crossover and a bear cycle within a triangle pattern.

Also Read: Bitcoin ETFs To See 30% Gap Down From Jan Levels On Monday, Says Peter Schiff

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Forced Liquidations and Bearish Funding Rate Exacerbate Sell-Off

XRP price has been on a six-day downward spiral, plummeting from $0.627 to $0.49—a 21.5% decrease. During this period, long position holders faced nearly $30 million in forced liquidations, according to Coinglass data. These liquidations have increased sell orders in the market, intensifying the supply pressure.

Total Liquidations Chart
XRP Total Liquidations Chart | Coinglass

Moreover, derivative market data for XRP shows an Open Interest (OI)-Weighted Funding Rate of -0.0064. This negative rate suggests that short sellers incur costs to hold their positions, reinforcing a solid bearish outlook and the anticipation of further price drops.

OI-Weighted Funding Rate
XRP OI-Weighted Funding Rate

Also Read: Bitcoin Leads Crypto Outflow With $400M Lost Amid Recession Fears

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EMA Death Cross Imminent on Daily Chart

Amid the ongoing correction, the XRP daily chart shows the 50-day Exponential Moving Average is poised to break below the 200-day EMA. This death crossover signals a major signal that could accelerate the current bearish momentum.

XRP price
XRP/USDT 1d Chart

Though the flattish 100-and-200-day EMAs signal a sideways trend, the coin price trading below them projects the sellers to have the upper hand.

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Triangle Pattern Brings Major Support For XRP Price

The weekly chart reveals that XRP has undergone another bearish reversal within the symmetrical triangle pattern. This chart setup consists of two converging trendlines leading a sideways trend since September 2021. In theory, the ongoing consolidation should serve as a foundation for the prevailing market trend to gather momentum for a significant move.

If history repeats, the coin price is poised for another 20% drop to retest the triangle support at $0.4. A fall below this support may lead to a major downfall for this asset.

BINANCE:XRPUSDT Chart Image by sahilmahadik07

On the contrary, the lower trendline has remained a strong accumulation zone for crypto buyers since December 2020. If the support holds, the altcoin could rise over 50% to a challenged overhead trendline around $0.61.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

1. What does "Forced Liquidations" mean?

Forced liquidations occur when traders are unable to meet the margin requirements for their leveraged positions, leading to automatic selling of their positions by the exchange or broke

2. What is the Weighted Funding Rate in derivative markets?

The Weighted Funding Rate is an interest rate determined by the average of the funding rates in perpetual contracts across various exchanges. It reflects the cost of holding positions open in the market.

3. Will XRP Hold $0.4?

The ascending trendline of triangle pattern has manage to holds despite major market correction. The dynamic support currently at $0.4 indicate a higher potential for bullish reversal at this support.
Sahil Mahadik
Sahil is a dedicated full-time trader with over three years of experience in the financial markets. Armed with a strong grasp of technical analysis, he keeps a vigilant eye on the daily price movements of top assets and indices. Drawn by his fascination with financial instruments, Sahil enthusiastically embraced the emerging realm of cryptocurrency, where he continues to explore opportunities driven by his passion for trading
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