Price Analysis

Bearish Technical Pattern Predicts Dogecoin Price May Crash 15%

Dogecoin (DOGE) price edges closer to a 16% crash due to a bearish technical pattern. Explore technical analysis & key levels to watch.
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Bearish Technical Pattern Predicts Dogecoin Price May Crash 15%

Highlights

  • Dogecoin price is trading at $0.192, on the brink of a potential breakdown from a bearish flag pattern.
  • A decisive candlestick close below $0.191 could confirm the breakdown and lead to a 13-16% decline to $0.165.
  • Despite the short-term bearish outlook, the mid-to-long term forecast for Dogecoin remains bullish, with potential for a 500% rally to $1.23.

Dogecoin (DOGE) trades at $0.192, on the brink of a breakdown from a bearish flag technical pattern. Flag setups, whether bullish or bearish, fall under continuation patterns and catalyze the continuation of the previous trend. In DOGE’s case, the short-term analysis suggests a potential price crash as soon as tomorrow.

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Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Analysis: Crash Looms as Bearish Pattern Nears Completion

The 4-hour Dogecoin price chart (DOGE/USD) reveals a bear flag pattern formation. The 18% crash between May 29 and 31 is termed the flagpole, and the uptrending consolidation that followed is the flag. A breakdown occurs when the DOGE price produces a decisive candlestick close below the flag’s lower trend line.

At the time of writing, Dogecoin price trades at $0.192 and is down 2.13% from the intraday high of $0.0204. The four-hour chart displays a clear rejection of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at the mean level, indicating a lack of buying pressure and suggesting that bearish momentum is in control.

The Awesome Oscillator (AO) is showing a cautiously optimistic outlook, with a receding green histogram attempting to flip above the zero mean level. A successful flip in the AO shows that the buyers are attempting a recovery. In such a case, Dogecoin price could bounce off the flag’s lower trendline, delaying the breakout.

However, the technicals are leaning bearish due to Bitcoin’s uncertain short-term outlook, as institutions are focusing more on Ethereum (ETH) than on BTC. BlackRock recently sold a portion of its Bitcoin holdings and invested in ETH. Hence, a breakdown in Bitcoin price could trigger a crash for Dogecoin and other altcoins as well.

DOGE/USD 4-Hour Chart
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Key Levels to Watch

  • A breakdown of roughly $0.191 will confirm the breakdown from the bear flag.
  • Theoretical forecasting methods suggest a 13% decline to $0.165, measured from the flag’s peak of $0.210.
  • Realistically, DOGE could crash 16% from the breakout point of $0.191
  • The $0.165 level is key as it supported Dogecoin price flip from late April to the first week of May, resulting in a 55% rally. Therefore, a revisit of this level would be a key buying opportunity for short-term speculation.
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Mid-to-Long Term Outlook for DOGE Remains Bullish

Investors should note that although the short-term outlook may seem bearish, the 2025 forecasts for Dogecoin price remain bullish, as noted by a previous CoinGape analysis. This article also highlights the possibility of DOGE revisiting its ATH in 2025.

Analyst Mary Muthoni noted that Dogecoin price could rally “500% to $1.23” and set up a new high, provided a few technical signals align, repeating history. However, she warns that June may hinder DOGE’s rally, citing muted historical returns.

For a long-term Dogecoin price prediction for 2025 to 2030: Read This

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the bearish flag pattern in Dogecoin's price chart?

The bearish flag pattern is a continuation pattern that formed after a sharp decline (flagpole) followed by a consolidating uptrend (flag), suggesting a potential price crash.

What are the key levels to watch for Dogecoin price?

The key levels are $0.191 (breakdown point), $0.165 (potential target and key support level), and $0.210 (flag's peak).

Is the long-term outlook for Dogecoin bullish?

Yes, despite the short-term bearish outlook, the long-term forecast for Dogecoin remains bullish, with potential for a significant rally to $1.23.
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Akash Girimath

Senior Cryptocurrency Analyst & Market Strategist Engineer-turned-analyst Akash Girimath delivers data-driven insights on cryptocurrency markets, DeFi, and blockchain technology for platforms like AMBCrypto and FXStreet. Specializing in technical analysis, on-chain analytics, and risk management, he empowers institutional investors and retail traders to navigate market volatility and regulatory shifts. A hands-on strategist, Akash merges active crypto portfolio management with research on Web3, NFTs, and tokenomics. At AMBCrypto, he led cross-functional teams to redesign content frameworks, achieving record-breaking traffic growth through scalable editorial strategies. His analyses dissect market sentiment, investment strategies, and price predictions, blending macroeconomic trends with real-world trading expertise. Known for mentoring analysts and optimizing workflows for high-impact reporting, Akash’s work is cited across global crypto publications, reaching 500k+ monthly readers. Follow his insights on YouTube, X, and LinkedIn for cutting-edge perspectives on decentralized ecosystems and crypto innovation.

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