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Highlights
- Bitcoin price holds $102,500 for seven straight days as ETF demand sustains upward momentum.
- BlackRock’s IBIT leads $319.5M BTC ETF inflow rebound following Tuesday’s outflows.
- Total US ETF flows cross $400B YTD, with $1T in 2025 now within reach, says Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas.
Bitcoin price forecast stays bullish as BTC consolidates above $103K, fueled by rising institutional ETF inflows and easing U.S. recession fears.
Bitcoin (BTC) as market watchers dial down US recession expectations
Bitcoin traded at $102,500 on Thursday, consolidating within a narrow 0.5% range between $101,769 and $103,810, according to CoinGecko data.
Notably, BTC price has now closed above the $100,000 level for seven consecutive days for the first time since January.
This steady momentum is supported by institutional investors maintaining a bullish stance on BTC, despite global macro uncertainty.
The rally coincides with easing fears of a U.S. recession, as major players including JPMorgan dropped their forecasts after a surprise trade truce between the U.S. and China earlier this week.
The alignment of Bitcoin’s resilient market performance with shifting macro sentiment and rising ETF demand has helped establish the steady support cluster above the $100,000 market this week.
US ETF markets hit $400B capital flows for 2025, accelerating corporate demand for Bitcoin
The U.S. ETF market has now exceeded $400 billion in net inflows year-to-date, marking an average daily intake of $4.4 billion, according to Bloomberg. Eric Balchunas said the market is on track to repeat or exceed the $1 trillion milestone reached last year.
Amid relatively flat equity markets in 2025, the surge reflects strong interest in ETF structures, particularly in Bitcoin exposure.
This momentum has spilled over into the crypto space. According to Farside data, spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $319.5 million in net inflows on Wednesday, May 14, a sharp rebound from Tuesday’s $91.4 million outflow.
BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) led the surge with $232.9 million in inflows, followed by Fidelity’s FBTC at $36.1 million and Ark’s ARKB at $5.2 million. With spot Bitcoin ETFs now holding over $41.3 billion in BTC and IBIT nearing 40% market share with $15 billion in assets under management, institutional appetite appears undeterred.
Looking ahead, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is expected to announce rulings on several altcoin ETF applications by June 16.
If the current pace of ETF inflows continues, and the $1 trillion mark is breached as projected, analysts expect both Bitcoin and selected altcoins could be propelled to new all-time highs.
Bitcoin Price Forecast Today: Bullish Bias Maintained Above $103K, Targeting $106K–$108K Zone
Bitcoin continues to consolidate just above $103,500, a level that reflects a resilient uptrend structure despite a mild decline in buying volume.
Today’s Bitcoin price forecast signals remains constructively bullish, particularly as the price holds above the mid-range support of the Donchian Channel at $99,309 and the Parabolic SAR at $98,705, reinforcing the bullish continuation setup.
This base of support, layered above the lower Donchian band at $92,800, establishes a firm invalidation zone for bulls while allowing upside room to remain the dominant risk.
Bitcoin price forecast today remains bullish so long as $101,000 holds, with a technical target around $106,000–$108,000, corresponding to a potential breakout from this compression range.
The recent stalling just below the upper Donchian Channel boundary at $105,819 signals short-term exhaustion but not a structural breakdown. This consolidation, occurring on reduced volume, is more indicative of accumulation than distribution.
The Klinger Oscillator, while diverging from price, may signal fading bullish momentum short term; however, it remains above the 0 line and above the signal average, preserving the longer-term uptrend prospects.
Unless this indicator breaks decisively below its moving average with a negative volume confirmation, the current divergence is not enough to flip the broader outlook bearish.
On the downside, a rapid break below $98,700 could invalidate the $110,000 breakout projection.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
1. Why is Bitcoin’s price holding above $100,000 important?
2. How are U.S. ETF inflows affecting Bitcoin price?
3. What could push Bitcoin toward a new all-time high?
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