Bitcoin Price Likely to Slip Below $60K After Worrying NFP Data

Akash Girimath
Updated
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Highlights

  • Bitcoin (BTC) price hovers above $60K amidst uncertainty, with some altcoins rallying while others await BTC's signal.
  • The Iran-Israel war and strong Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data have increased caution, potentially leading to a "dead cat bounce" and further correction.
  • BTC price forecast suggests a slim chance of recovery, with a potential breakdown below $60.3K support level leading to a 4-5% correction to $57.9K-$57.2K.

Uncertainty encapsulates crypto markets as Bitcoin (BTC) hovers above $60K. While some altcoins are defying this trend and rallying, others await BTC’s signal. The Iran-Israel war has pushed investors to be extra cautious since it triggered a double-digit crash earlier this week. In this article, CoinGape explores what’s next for Bitcoin price if there’s more pain ahead of the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP). 

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US Nonfarm Payrolls Likely to Crash Bitcoin Price

As discussed in a previous article, the seven-month Bitcoin’s seven-month consolidation has created local bottoms or reversals in the first week of the month and local tops in the third week. Going by this logic, the September 27 swing high of $66,449 was the short-term local top. After this swing high, BTC price crashed 10% and is now attempting a reversal. Investors can expect another local top could form for BTC between October 7 and 10.

BTC/USDT 1-day chart
BTC/USDT 1-day chart

This short-term Bitcoin price rally is the dead cat bounce that investors should be aware of, especially if Bitcoin shows weakness around the critical resistance level of $65K. A failure to flip the said barrier into support could trap impatient and early bulls when there is a crash.

Another reason for expecting this dead cat bounce for BTC is the geopolitical tensions due to the Iran-Israel war. Hence, Bitcoin price forecast hints at a slim chance of recovery. Therefore, a short-term uptrend that fails to overcome $65K could lead to another correction. 

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How Nonfarm Payrolls Affect BTC?

Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) is an important macroeconomic event that could induce massive volatility into the crypto markets albeit for the short-term. The jobs data for September is 254K and is higher than expectations of 140K, it could induce a risk-on scenario, causing Bitcoin and other top altcoins to surge higher in the short-term.

Although NFP data showed a positive surprise, the unemployment rate has come in at 4.1%, lower than expectations of 4.2%. This outlook puts pressure on Fed to keep interest rates higher and prevents rate cuts. It also strengthens the dollar and could negatively impact risk-on assets.

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BTC Price Forecast: No Optimism Yet

The four-hour Bitcoin price chart does not show clear signs of optimism as it trades under the $61.8K resistance level. Investors can expect this slow consolidation between the $61.8K to $60.3K barriers to continue.

The hotter-than-expected NFP data could catalyze a bounce off the $60K hurdle, but as long as the $65K resistance level is not overcome, the chances of a sustained uptrend are unlikely. Investors can expect a continuation of the downtrend. A breakdown of the $60.3K support level should see a swift 4% to 5% correction to the next key support areas at $57.9K to $57.2K.

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart
BTC/USDT 4-hour chart

Popular analyst CryptoCapo believes that BTC’s ongoing consolidation resembles Bitcoin’s March 2020 price action and could ultimately resolve to the downside. He asked the investors to “stay safe.”

Bitcoin Price Chart
Bitcoin Price Chart

On the other hand, overcoming the $61.8K hurdle would only put Bitcoin before another resistance zone, extending from $63.4K to $65K. If BTC bulls manage to flip the $65K hurdle, it will suggest a strong buying pressure and would propel the pioneer crypto to $70K. 

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

1. What is the significance of the $65K resistance level for Bitcoin price?

The $65K resistance level is crucial for Bitcoin's short-term uptrend. Failure to overcome it could lead to another correction, while a successful flip would suggest strong buying pressure and potentially propel BTC to $70K.

2. How does the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data impact Bitcoin price?

The NFP data can induce short-term volatility in crypto markets. The recent hotter-than-expected NFP data could catalyze a bounce off the $60K hurdle, but may also strengthen the dollar and negatively impact risk-on assets.

3. What are the key support and resistance levels for Bitcoin price?

Key support levels: $60.3K, $57.9K-$57.2K Key resistance levels: $61.8K, $63.4K-$65K
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Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
Ad Disclosure: This site may feature sponsored content and affiliate links. All advertisements are clearly labeled, and ad partners have no influence over our editorial content.

Why Trust CoinGape

CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights Read more…to our readers. Our journal analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.

About Author
About Author
Senior Cryptocurrency Analyst & Market Strategist Engineer-turned-analyst Akash Girimath delivers data-driven insights on cryptocurrency markets, DeFi, and blockchain technology for platforms like AMBCrypto and FXStreet. Specializing in technical analysis, on-chain analytics, and risk management, he empowers institutional investors and retail traders to navigate market volatility and regulatory shifts. A hands-on strategist, Akash merges active crypto portfolio management with research on Web3, NFTs, and tokenomics. At AMBCrypto, he led cross-functional teams to redesign content frameworks, achieving record-breaking traffic growth through scalable editorial strategies. His analyses dissect market sentiment, investment strategies, and price predictions, blending macroeconomic trends with real-world trading expertise. Known for mentoring analysts and optimizing workflows for high-impact reporting, Akash’s work is cited across global crypto publications, reaching 500k+ monthly readers. Follow his insights on YouTube, X, and LinkedIn for cutting-edge perspectives on decentralized ecosystems and crypto innovation.
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
Ad Disclosure: This site may feature sponsored content and affiliate links. All advertisements are clearly labeled, and ad partners have no influence over our editorial content.