Price Analysis

Bitcoin Price Prediction: $150K in Q4 as Gold’s ATH Momentum Sets the Tone

Bitcoin price analysis shows historical alignment with gold’s rallies, as institutions double down on BTC despite gold’s safe-haven growth.
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Bitcoin Price Prediction: $150K in Q4 as Gold’s ATH Momentum Sets the Tone

Highlights

  • Bitcoin price has historically mirrored gold’s explosive rallies and sharp corrections.
  • Gold’s recent 128% Rally supports projections of BTC nearing $150K by year-end.
  • Institutional strategies confirm Bitcoin remains dominant despite gold’s safe-haven appeal.

Bitcoin price has repeatedly been linked to gold’s performance, drawing investor comparisons between the two assets. Both markets have shown cyclical surges followed by deep corrections, shaping expectations of future rallies. Meanwhile, an analyst is projecting that Bitcoin could reach $150,000 by year’s end if past correlations with gold hold. This outlook gains weight as gold continues to carve out new all-time highs.

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How Bitcoin Price Echoed Gold’s Cyclical Rise And Deep Market Pullbacks

Bitcoin price has historically mirrored gold’s significant price surges and retracements across market cycles as highlighted by a renowned analyst, Ted, on X platform. Gold rallied from around $682 in 2008 to above $1,920 in 2011 before entering a long correction, while Bitcoin surged from $10,000 to nearly $69,000 before falling back. 

This alignment emphasizes that both assets often experience parabolic rises followed by steep pullbacks. Gold’s pattern of explosive growth sets a template Bitcoin has frequently repeated. After its retracement, Bitcoin regained strength and is now once again shadowing gold’s historic rise. 

Historical analysis suggests Bitcoin could replicate gold’s trajectory after consolidation phases. Meanwhile, long-term projections extend beyond six figures, reinforcing bullish expectations. Therefore, the long-term BTC price forecast also fits within this broader cycle-driven outlook.

Gold/BTC Chart (Source: X)
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Can BTC Price Replicate Gold’s All-Time High Surge Toward $150K?

The current Bitcoin market value sits at $112,718.73, retreating slightly from the most recent highs near $115,482. Gold, on the other hand, has surged from $1,627 in 2022 to $3,700 in 2025, marking a 128% increase.  

According to the analyst, Bitcoin may undergo a 10% to 15% correction around the 95k zone, before advancing again. However, the broader projection remains optimistic, with a target near $150,000 before year-end. 

GOLD/USD 1-Week Chart (Source: TradingView)

At the same time, institutions like Tether have made it clear that while gold is part of their diversified safe-asset strategy, Bitcoin remains the centerpiece, with holdings exceeding 100,000 BTC worth over $11 billion as recently reported by CoinGape. This reinforces confidence that despite gold’s rise, BTC price remains the dominant force in institutional strategies.

Summary

Bitcoin’s historical connection with gold underlines the case for another major rally. With the current BTC price aligning with gold’s breakout phases, the next upward leg appears highly probable. A brief correction remains possible, but broader analysis supports the $150,000 target at the end of Q4. Therefore, the conclusion is decisive: Bitcoin is set to follow gold’s footsteps toward record highs.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Why is Bitcoin often compared to gold?

Bitcoin is frequently compared to gold because both are seen as scarce assets with long-term store-of-value potential.

How does institutional adoption impact Bitcoin’s credibility?

Institutional adoption strengthens Bitcoin’s credibility by framing it as a recognized safe-asset class within diversified portfolios.

What role does diversification play in Bitcoin’s narrative?

Diversification, as seen with Tether adding gold, supports risk management while keeping Bitcoin at the center of long-term strategies.
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CoinGape comprises an experienced team of native content writers and editors working round the clock to cover news globally and present news as a fact rather than an opinion. CoinGape writers and reporters contributed to this article.

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Why trust CoinGape: CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights to our readers. Our journalists and analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.
Investment disclaimer: The content reflects the author’s personal views and current market conditions. Please conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies, as neither the author nor the publication is responsible for any financial losses.
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