Price Analysis

Bitcoin Price Today: Will BTC Recover After 2025’s First Crash?

BTC crashes for first time in 2025. Explore key support levels, price targets & impact of Trump's inauguration on Bitcoin's price.
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Bitcoin Price Today: Will BTC Recover After 2025’s First Crash?

Highlights

  • Bitcoin crashes 5.16% in a single day, sending shockwaves across the crypto market.
  • Four factors contribute to the crash: Open Interest slump, sell-side imbalance, treasury yields spike, and lack of higher high.
  • Trump's inauguration on January 20 could propel Bitcoin higher, with potential targets at $105K and $118K.

After hitting a local top of $102,702 on Tuesday, Bitcoin (BTC) crashed 5.16% in a single day. The sell-off continued into Wednesday, with BTC shedding an additional -2.21%, sending shockwaves across the crypto market. As of today, Bitcoin is trading at $94,972.0, marking its first significant crash in 2025.

This sudden downturn has left investors questioning whether this is the start of a steep correction or if BTC could recover quickly. What’s next for BTC price in January 2025? Let’s explore.

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Bitcoin Price Today: Explaining BTC’s First Crash of 2025

Here are four reasons why Bitcoin crashed on January 7.

  1. According to VeloData, Bitcoin’s Open Interest slumped by nearly $1B from January 6, 16:00 UTC, to January 7, 09:00 UTC, while the price moved sideways. This divergence denotes that investors were closing positions.
  2. After clearing the $100K hurdle and ending its 11-day consolidation, Bitcoin entered a sell-side imbalance, extending from roughly $102K to $105K. 
  3. With a spike in the US 10-year treasury yields, investors are concerned about stagflation amid the macroeconomic outlook.
  4. Despite revisiting the $100K psychological level, BTC did not set up a higher high to flip the market structure bullish. Hence, profit-taking and bearish sentiment could be the fourth reason why Bitcoin collapsed.
BTCUSDT Vs. Open Interest vs. Liquidations

After understanding why Bitcoin crashed, let’s look at key support levels and targets that could be achieved in January 2025.

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Strategic Price Targets For January 2025?

The key support levels include the CME Gap, extending from $94,970 to $94,495, the value area low of $93,299, $92,266, and $90,835. Investors need to watch out for reversal signs at these levels. 

A move into any of these levels could provide an opportunity to accumulate. A bounce here should be a high-probability scenario and could push Bitcoin to revisit $100K and deep into the sell-side imbalance’s upper limit of $105K. Before the end of January 2025, traders can expect a correction to $90K, followed by a bullish retest of $105K.

From a long-term perspective, Bitcoin price prediction hints next ATH could be at the 161.8% Fibonacci level at $118,467.4.

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart

Trump’s Inauguration Could Catalyze Rally

Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 US Presidential Elections caused a spike in volatility and bullish momentum that pushed both cryptos and US equities higher. Hence, the upcoming inauguration of President-elect Donald Trump on January 20 could propel Bitcoin higher. Investors need to be patient until this event, as there might be consolidation or rangebound movement until then.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Why did Bitcoin's price crash on January 7, 2025?

The crash was attributed to four factors: a slump in Open Interest, sell-side imbalance, a spike in US 10-year treasury yields, and a lack of a higher high to flip the market structure bullish.

What are the key support levels for Bitcoin's price in January 2025?

The key support levels include the CME Gap, extending from $94,970 to $94,495, the value area low at $93,299, $92,266, and $90,835.

What is the potential long-term price target for Bitcoin?

The 161.8% Fibonacci level at $118,467.4 could be where Bitcoin forms its next all-time high.
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Akash Girimath

Senior Cryptocurrency Analyst & Market Strategist Engineer-turned-analyst Akash Girimath delivers data-driven insights on cryptocurrency markets, DeFi, and blockchain technology for platforms like AMBCrypto and FXStreet. Specializing in technical analysis, on-chain analytics, and risk management, he empowers institutional investors and retail traders to navigate market volatility and regulatory shifts. A hands-on strategist, Akash merges active crypto portfolio management with research on Web3, NFTs, and tokenomics. At AMBCrypto, he led cross-functional teams to redesign content frameworks, achieving record-breaking traffic growth through scalable editorial strategies. His analyses dissect market sentiment, investment strategies, and price predictions, blending macroeconomic trends with real-world trading expertise. Known for mentoring analysts and optimizing workflows for high-impact reporting, Akash’s work is cited across global crypto publications, reaching 500k+ monthly readers. Follow his insights on YouTube, X, and LinkedIn for cutting-edge perspectives on decentralized ecosystems and crypto innovation.

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