Highlights
Bitcoin (BTC) price surged 4.5% during the U.S. trading session on Monday, currently trading at $65,655. The renewed bullish momentum has nearly recovered the losses initiated due to the geopolitical tension in the Middle East. Is the momentum sufficient to restore ‘Uptober’ rally sentiment and drive BTC to $70,000, or are sellers waiting for a counterattack?
In this CoinGape article, we explore whether Bitcoin could sustain the current recovery or sellers could drive a prolonged correction.
After a 4% rally over the weekend, the early Asian session on Monday saw a 1.12% correction which was followed by the next leg that pushed Bitcoin price up by 1.91% today.
With the weekend pump, BTC price has slithered closer to $65K, a key resistance level. This barrier has served as support and resistance level for the past 90 days, leading to 9% and 23% rallies after retesting it. So, a revisit of this critical hurdle will play a pivotal role in determining the directional bias for Bitcoin.
A weekly candlestick close above $65K would count as a successful flip of this hurdle. Beyond this, BTC bulls need to defend this level, which showcases that buyers are stepping up. If these two conditions are met, Bitcoin price prediction hints at a sustained move to the upside.
In such a case, the next short-term target is $67,700 and $70,101.
The 12-hour Bitcoin chart below highlights that aggregated Open Interest (OI) of futures and spot market is range bound between $21 billion and $16 billion. This range coincides with key local tops and bottoms formed in the past seven months.
If history repeats, Bitcoin price could form another local top when OI hits $21 billion, the upper limit of the aforementioned range.
On a similar topic, on-chain enthusiast Axle Adler Junior posted his thoughts on OI to X. Based on his analysis the BTC-denominated Open Interest has seen a considerable increase in the past quarter, pushing it to 285K, which is well above the annual average of 257K.
Additionally, Adler Jr. noted that the 30-day OI moving average crossover above the yearly OI has triggered volatile moves in the past, preferably to the upside. Again, if history repeats, BTC could end October on a bullish note.
Regardless of the recent uptick, the short-term outlook for Bitcoin price remains uncertain, but the long-term bullishness still remains.
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