Price Analysis

BTC Price Analysis: Selling Pressure Resumes Post-Fed Rate Decision

The Federal Reserve maintained its interest rate at 5.25-5.50% on July 31, aligning with market expectations. However, the BTC price analysis showed 2% drop to resume the correction trend.
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BTC Price Analysis: Selling Pressure Resumes Post-Fed Rate Decision

Highlights

  • The three-day fall in Bitcoin price reflects the market supply pressure remains intact.
  • Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell announced Wednesday that the central bank could consider its first interest rate cut since the pandemic as early as September.
  • The BTC price drop below the 20-day EMA sparks an initiation sign of a fresh market correction.

On Wednesday, the BTC price analysis showcased low volatility after the US Federal Reserve announced its fifth interest rate decision. During the Jerome Powell speech, no significant move was observed, but a slight decline remained due to the prevailing bearish momentum.

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Fed Holds Rates Steady in July 2024

The U.S. Federal Reserve announced its latest decision on interest rates on July 31, 2024, following a two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The central bank decided to maintain the federal funds rate within the range of 5.25% to 5.50%, which aligns with market expectations. This marks the seventh consecutive meeting where rates have been held steady after a series of aggressive hikes that began in March 2022 to combat inflation.

Holding rates steady can bolster investor confidence, as it indicates a measured response to current economic conditions rather than a sudden shift in monetary policy. FOMC statement-

The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. The Committee judges that the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals continue to move into better balance. The economic outlook is uncertain, and the Committee is attentive to the risks to both sides of its dual mandate.

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BTC Price Analysis: Fall Looms with Wedge Pattern

During Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Wednesday, the Bitcoin price remained stable at around $66,000. However, supply pressure soon returned to the crypto market, resulting in a more than 2% drop in Bitcoin to $64,750, with its market cap decreasing to $1.278 trillion. 

This downturn signifies a significant shift in BTC price analysis, occurring at the resistance boundary of the broadening wedge pattern. This chart formation is characterized by diverging trendlines that have governed its consolidation trend for the past four months.

Historically, reversals from this pattern’s resistance have led to significant corrections testing the lower boundary. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) nearing a bearish crossover suggests that further selling pressure could prolong the price correction. If the selling continues, BTC price forecast targets drop to $63,370, followed by $60,000.

BTC/USDT – 1d Chart

Conversely, the daily Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) for 50 and 100 days, currently near $63,370, might provide support and prevent a further downturn. If this potential reversal fails, it could pave the way for a breakout from the wedge pattern, enabling BTC to surpass its previous high of $73,680.

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Related Articles

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the federal funds rate?

The federal funds rate is the interest rate at which depository institutions (banks and credit unions) lend reserve balances to other depository institutions overnight on an uncollateralized basis.

What does market supply pressure in crypto market?

Market supply pressure in the cryptocurrency context refers to the increase in the amount of Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies being sold in the market.

Is BTC Price Ready for new All-time-high(ATH)?

The formation of wedge pattern follows buyers to recuperate the exhausted bullish momentum. Thus, a breach beyond the pattern resistance will project a better signal for ATH rally
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Sahil Mahadik

Sahil is a dedicated full-time trader with over three years of experience in the financial markets. Armed with a strong grasp of technical analysis, he keeps a vigilant eye on the daily price movements of top assets and indices. Drawn by his fascination with financial instruments, Sahil enthusiastically embraced the emerging realm of cryptocurrency, where he continues to explore opportunities driven by his passion for trading

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Why trust CoinGape: CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights to our readers. Our journalists and analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.
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