Price Analysis

BTC Price Close to $100K as Soverign Fund that Rejected Bitcoin Reports $40B Loss

Uncover what's next for BTC price as it approaches $100K while Soverign Fund that rejected Bitcoin reports $40 billion loss in Q1 2025.
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BTC Price Close to $100K as Soverign Fund that Rejected Bitcoin Reports $40B Loss

Highlights

  • Bitcoin's price has soared 14% in the past five days and might revisit $100,000 soon.
  • Norges Bank Investment Management reported a $40 billion loss despite avoiding Bitcoin investments.
  • Technical analysis suggests a potential correction due to bearish divergence, but a volatility-driven spike to $100,000 is possible.

BTC price trades close to $95k with an expectation of $100K retest soon. Meanwhile, Norges Bank Investment Management reported Q1 loss of $40 billion on Thursday after the firm embraced “safe” US tech stocks while considering Bitcoin (BTC) as “risky.”

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BTC Price Pauses Before $100K Revisit as Soverign Wealth Fund Reports $40B Loss

In the past five days, Bitcoin price has soared nearly 14% and tagged $95.6k. Although BTC has paused its ascent, it is likely to hit $100K soon if the bullish momentum continues. 

Norges Bank Investment Management that manages $1,800 billion reported $40 billion loss in a Thursday filing. Eli Nagar, the CEO of Braiins Mining, pointed out the irony as the “wealth fund didn’t want to invest in Bitcoin” due to its volatility and tagged it as “too risky.” 

Instead the fund invested heavily in “safe” tech equities. According to CNBC, the firms has invested 55% of its fund in United States, including tech giants like Nvidia, Alphabet, Meta, Amazon and so on.

Where is Norway’s wealth fund invested?

However, investors should note that the fund has indirect exposure to cryptocurrency markets, especially Bitcoin via companies Strategy (MicroStartegy), Coinbase, Metaplanet, and so on. 

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BTC Price Analysis: Is $100K Next for Bitcoin?

BTC’s value today hovers around $94,552 after closing Friday on a positive note. The four-hour chart highlights Bitcoin’s price escape from a previous value area, extending from $81k to $88.4k. This uptrend has pushed BTC price into the three-month consolidation area, stretching from $93k to $102.5k. There might be a sustained consolidation over the weekend amid Trump’s tariff pause. The push into this value area indicates that the bulls are in control, but a closer look shows they may be losing steam.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in the overbought zone and has produced lower highs, diverging with BTC price’s higher highs. This nonconformity is termed bearish divergence and often leads to corrections. The same divergence can be noted on the Awesome Oscillator (AO). 

However, Bitcoin price might not correct soon and could produce another higher high while the RSI & AO produce another lower high. This move will extend the bearish divergence and push BTC into a key reversal zone, extending from $97.1k to $98.1k.

Investors looking to short can expect an opportunity here. In some cases, a volatility driven spike to $100K is also possible, so traders must exercise caution in this area.

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart

While the short-to-mid term timeframe is slightly bearish, investors can expect a bullish Bitcoin price prediction with a sustained move to $102k followed by $108k if $98k to $100k is flipped.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Bitcoin's current price?

Bitcoin's price is trading close to $95,000, with a recent high of $95,600.

Why did Norges Bank Investment Management report a $40 billion loss?

The fund reported a loss after investing heavily in "safe" US tech stocks, which apparently didn't perform well.

What is the outlook for Bitcoin's price?

Bitcoin's price might hit $100,000 soon if the bullish momentum continues, but a correction is possible due to bearish divergence.
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Akash Girimath

Senior Cryptocurrency Analyst & Market Strategist Engineer-turned-analyst Akash Girimath delivers data-driven insights on cryptocurrency markets, DeFi, and blockchain technology for platforms like AMBCrypto and FXStreet. Specializing in technical analysis, on-chain analytics, and risk management, he empowers institutional investors and retail traders to navigate market volatility and regulatory shifts. A hands-on strategist, Akash merges active crypto portfolio management with research on Web3, NFTs, and tokenomics. At AMBCrypto, he led cross-functional teams to redesign content frameworks, achieving record-breaking traffic growth through scalable editorial strategies. His analyses dissect market sentiment, investment strategies, and price predictions, blending macroeconomic trends with real-world trading expertise. Known for mentoring analysts and optimizing workflows for high-impact reporting, Akash’s work is cited across global crypto publications, reaching 500k+ monthly readers. Follow his insights on YouTube, X, and LinkedIn for cutting-edge perspectives on decentralized ecosystems and crypto innovation.

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