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Highlights
- A falling wedge pattern drives the current correction trend in the LINK price.
- The $8.5 level coinciding with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level highlights a major support for buyers.
- A significant surge in large transaction volume, reaching levels last observed in the April 2024 bottom, suggests renewed interest from whales.
Chainlink price rebound to $10 on Wednesday amid a broader cryptocurrency market recovery, forming a fresh bottom. Chainlink buy volume has reduced, and the price dropped from $10 to $9.94 on Thursday. A detailed analysis of the on-chain data reveals significant activity among whales, indicating a continued buy-the-dip sentiment among large investors.
Chainlink Price Hints Bullish Reversal
The near-term trend in Chainlink price is bearish, as evidenced by the formation of a falling wedge pattern in the daily chart. The technical chart setup consists of two converging trendlines, which lead to a series of lower highs and lower lows before a major reversal.
Amid the pattern formation, the LINK price fell from $22.87 to $8.08 within five months to record a 64.6% loss. However, the $8.5 level, which coincides with the 78.6% FIB level and wedge pattern support, creates a buyer accumulation zone. This level previously acted as a major resistance during the May 2022 to October 2023 consolidation trend, indicating a shift in market sentiment.
Chainlink price prediction shows a 6.2% jump in the last 48 hours, boosting its market cap to $6.17 billion. If the fresh reversal sustains, the buyers could drive over 40% to challenge wedge pattern resistance at $14.
Additionally, Intotheblock analytics data reveals that large transaction volumes surged to 683 transactions on Tuesday, matching the levels last recorded at the April 2024 bottom. This surge during a market correction typically indicates that whales accumulate the asset amid the market dip, an activity often viewed as a harbinger of a potential market rebound.
However, the bearish cloud in the crypto market persists, suggesting that the coming days and weeks could signal a potential reversal of the downtrend.
According to the Global In/Out of the Money (GIOM) metric, approximately 26.25k addresses currently hold around 22.82 million LINK tokens, with an average purchase price of $8.67. This volume is relatively low compared to other accumulation points, suggesting weak support according to on-chain data. The GIOM metric measures the profitability of addresses based on the current price compared to the average purchase price, providing insights into potential support and resistance levels based on holder behavior.
The bearish crossover state between the exponential moving averages (20, 50, 100, and 200) in the daily chart hints the path to least resistance is down.
Therefore, if chainlink buyers lose price level support in an anticipated market correction, the LINK token could incur a major 35% to seek support at $5.8.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
1. What is the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement Level?
2. What is a Bearish Crossover State in EMAs?
3. What does a surge in large transaction volumes indicate?
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