Ethereum Post-ETF Rally Likely to Outshine Solana Gains

Ethereum price may have bottomed, setting up post-ETF rally as ETH staking rate hits 28.1% ATH & exchange reserves drop
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Ethereum Post-ETF Rally Likely to Outshine Solana Gains

Highlights

  • Ethereum price performance has been lackluster despite the recent ETF approval.
  • ETH rally could kickstart soon due to two significant developments.
  • Ethereum-killer Solana’s trend has slowed down in the past week and will likely be overcome by Ether.

Ethereum price has crashed by 12% since the spot ETF approval on July 23. Solana, popularly termed an ‘Ethereum competitor,’ is up only 1.55%. With the recent developments, if SOL does not step up its game, ETH will likely outperform it.

ETH vs. SOL Price Performance

Read more: Ethereum Client Releases Important Stability Fix Ahead Pectra Upgrade

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Two Reasons To Anticipate Ethereum Rally

As explained in the previous Ethereum post, Ether prices closely follow Bitcoin’s post-ETF footsteps. However, the rate of change for ETH is much higher. Where Bitcoin price crashed 21% in 12 days, Ether price crashed nearly 13% in just three days.

After the ETF launch, Bitcoin and Ethereum faced outflow pressure from their respective Grayscale products. However, with ETH, 10% of the Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE) will be converted toward mini-spot Ethereum ETF purposes, thereby alleviating a massive source of selling pressure.

Therefore, if the outlook for Bitcoin remains the same, Ethereum price could have already bottomed and could be setting up the stage for a post-ETF rally.

ETH Supply Shortage

The ETH staking rate, the total ETH 2.0 staling balance divided by the total Ethereum supply, has hit an all-time high (ATH) of 28.1%. This metric paints a wildly bullish outlook for ETH investors.

ETH 2.0 Staking Rate (%)

The total ETH held on exchanges has dropped to a five-month low of nearly 17 million. Further exacerbating the reduced supply.

ETH Exchange Reserve

As mentioned earlier, Grayscale’s outflows currently dominate; hence, the cumulative net flows as of July 29 stand at $439.64 million. But as the outflows cool down and inflows start to pick up, the reduced supply of ETH will likely have a sudden positive impact on Ether price and potentially kickstart an explosive rally.

ETH ETF Flows

All in all, if Ether’s fundamentals keep getting strong it is unlikely the altcoin will remain capped. In such a case, the Ethereum price forecast hints at a revisit of the $4,000 psychological level. Beyond this level, ETH could overcome the current ATH of $4,878 and tag the $5,000 level.

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Frequently Asked Questions

How has Ethereum's price performed since the spot ETF approval on July 23?

Ethereum's price has crashed by 12% since the spot ETF approval on July 23.

What is the significance of the ETH staking rate hitting an all-time high of 28.1%?

The ETH staking rate hitting an all-time high of 28.1% paints a wildly bullish outlook for ETH investors, indicating a potential supply shortage.

What could be the impact of Grayscale's outflows cooling down and inflows picking up on Ether's price?

As Grayscale's outflows cool down and inflows start to pick up, the reduced supply of ETH will likely have a sudden positive impact on Ether's price and potentially kickstart an explosive rally.
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Akash Girimath

Senior Cryptocurrency Analyst & Market Strategist Engineer-turned-analyst Akash Girimath delivers data-driven insights on cryptocurrency markets, DeFi, and blockchain technology for platforms like AMBCrypto and FXStreet. Specializing in technical analysis, on-chain analytics, and risk management, he empowers institutional investors and retail traders to navigate market volatility and regulatory shifts. A hands-on strategist, Akash merges active crypto portfolio management with research on Web3, NFTs, and tokenomics. At AMBCrypto, he led cross-functional teams to redesign content frameworks, achieving record-breaking traffic growth through scalable editorial strategies. His analyses dissect market sentiment, investment strategies, and price predictions, blending macroeconomic trends with real-world trading expertise. Known for mentoring analysts and optimizing workflows for high-impact reporting, Akash’s work is cited across global crypto publications, reaching 500k+ monthly readers. Follow his insights on YouTube, X, and LinkedIn for cutting-edge perspectives on decentralized ecosystems and crypto innovation.

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