Price Analysis

Ethereum Price Holds $1,800 Ahead of Pectra Upgrade: Is a Bull Run Loading?

Ethereum holds $1,800 as the Pectra upgrade nears. Will the Ethereum price top $2,000 with key scalability and staking upgrades in place?
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Ethereum Price Holds $1,800 Ahead of Pectra Upgrade: Is a Bull Run Loading?

Highlights

  • Ethereum price holds firm above $1,800 amid market volatility.
  • Pectra upgrade brings validator scaling, cheaper L2 fees, and smart contract wallets.
  • Coinbase to pause ETH deposits/withdrawals during upgrade window on May 7.

Ethereum (ETH) price at $1,805 shows resilience above the $1,800 mark despite the sudden shakeout in the crypto market. With short-term bullish resilience, the upcoming Pectra upgrade is expected to boost the ETH market price with multiple changes in the ETH mainnet, leading to increased scalability and additional features.

The biggest altcoin is likely to witness a major turnaround. Will the new upgrade in ETH result in a price surge to the $2,000 mark?

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Ethereum Price Prepares Bullish Launch From $1,800

In the 4-hour price chart, the Ethereum price trend showcases a sideways movement above the $1,755 mark. This crucial zone marks a high-demand area extending between $1,754 and $1,765.

Providing multiple bouncebacks, the high-demand area and the 200 EMA line hold the Ethereum price uptrend. Currently, the Ethereum sideways movement marks a consolidation range with the upper ceiling near $1,855.

As the ETH price holds above $1,800 after a prevailing recovery, the 100 and 200 EMA lines are on the verge of giving a positive crossover. However, the RSI indicator reflects a loss of momentum as the consolidation range grows.

Currently, the 4-hour RSI line struggles to overcome the halfway line. Based on the Fibonacci levels, a bullish breakout of the upper ceiling at $1,855 will likely test the 78.60% Fibonacci level near $1,949.

Optimistically, the uptrend could reach the $2,100 mark near the previous swing high. On the flip side, the crucial support below $1,755 remains at the $1,676 level.

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On-Chain Data Signals Potential Price Surge to $2,000

As Ethereum holds its ground near $1,800, the in/out of the money around price indicator from IntotheBlock reflects a strong resistance ahead. The initial supply zone extends from $1,805 to $1,857, holding a total volume of 5.85 million ETH in 4.48 million addresses. 

This is significantly larger compared to the nearest demand zone, extending from $1,748 to $1,800, holding a total volume of 2.29 million ETH within 3.46 million addresses. 

In/Out of the Money Around Price

However, considering the short-term spike in Ethereum exceeds the overhead supply zone, the Ethereum price could witness a smoother sale towards the $2,000 mark. This is due to the short-term supply zones ahead holding a significantly lesser supply.

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Will ETH Price Bounce Back as Analyst Signals an Ease in Selling Pressure?

As Ethereum hangs close to a crucial support, the spot volume is on a cooldown stage. As per the on-chain analyst DarkFost, this sudden slowdown in the Ethereum spot volume could actually be a good signal for a potential bullish recovery. 

Based on the Ethereum spot volume bubble map by CryptoQuant, the analyst highlights the sudden drop in the spot volume, meaning the bigger the bubble, the higher the volume. Similarly, the change in the spot volume is denoted by the color of each bubble. 

Currently, the sudden cool-off in the spot volume aligns with the prevailing correction in the Ethereum price trend. Witnessing a volume decline as the asset price declines could help reduce volatility under such conditions. This could also potentially reflect the slowdown in the selling pressure.

Ethereum spot volume bubble map

However, the analyst warns that the slowdown in the selling pressure does not mean the bottom is in. 

The Pectra Upgrade Hype

The upcoming Pectra upgrade in Ethereum is likely to bring multiple key refinements to the mainnet. As per a recent tweet by Nansen AI, the key changes include the validator’s consolidation, reaching a 2,048 ETH market cap from the previous 32 ETH limit.

Furthermore, the Layer 2s can get cheaper, as blobs per block grow by 100% from 3 blobs to 6 blobs. Additionally, the EIP-7702 will bring temporary smart contract functionality to Ethereum wallets.

Overall, the key functionality brings faster staking, lower Layer 2 transaction fees, smarter wallets, and the Pectra Upgrade. These key upgrades will bring higher yields for stakers with easier operation.

Furthermore, roll-ups like Optimism and ZK-Sync will benefit from the cheaper data posting, with the increase in blobs per block. Decentralized applications (dApps) on the Ethereum ecosystem will be able to process batch transactions as gas sponsorships become easier.

Despite multiple upgrades, there are potential risks involved in the Pectra upgrade. Such as the validator’s consolidation could increase the risk of centralization on the Ethereum mainnet. Furthermore, the reliance of dApps on call data could increase transaction costs.

Finally, the growth of the smart wallet with the upgrade of EIP-7702 depends on the developers’ adoption. Nevertheless, the upcoming launch of Pectra upgrade shows potential to result in a massive Ethereum price surge. 

Coinbase Announces Halt in Ethereum Deposits Ahead of Pectra

With the Pectra upgrade scheduled on May 7 at 3.05 am PT, Coinbase has announced a temporary pause of Ethereum deposits and withdrawals. This is to ensure the safety of the user’s funds. The temporary pause will extend from 2.50 am to 3.45 am PT. 

Additionally, the initiation of new staking requests during this cool-off period will be delayed until 3.45 am PT. However, no existing stake positions will be impacted.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current Ethereum price trend?

Ethereum is consolidating above $1,800, showing resilience with support near $1,755 and resistance around $1,855.

What is the Pectra upgrade and when will it launch?

Pectra is an Ethereum mainnet upgrade going live on May 7, 3:05am PT, enhancing staking, L2 scalability, and smart wallet features.

Can Ethereum hit $2,000 after the upgrade?

If ETH breaks above $1,855, it could test $1,949 (78.6% Fib level) and potentially rally toward $2,100 in a bullish scenario.
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