Price Analysis

Here’s Ethereum Price Prediction if Bitcoin Rally Drives Satoshi Nakamoto Net Worth above Elon Musk

Ethereum price could reach $11,340 if Bitcoin rallies past $378K, pushing Satoshi’s net worth above Elon Musk. ETH eyes ETF-driven gains.
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Here’s Ethereum Price Prediction if Bitcoin Rally Drives Satoshi Nakamoto Net Worth above Elon Musk

Highlights

  • Ethereum price would hit $8,742 at current ETH/BTC levels, with upside to $11,340 if the ratio reverts to 0.03.
  • Bitcoin ETF inflows and Texas’ crypto reserve proposal signal strong institutional momentum that could spill into Ethereum and Layer-2 assets.
  • Satoshi Nakamoto’s Bitcoin holdings must exceed $416B, implying a BTC price of $378K to surpass Elon Musk’s net worth.

Ethereum price could reach $11,340 if Bitcoin rallies past $378K, pushing Satoshi’s net worth above Elon Musk.

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Ethereum (ETH) Stagnates at $,2500 as Bitcoin Tops $109K

Ethereum (ETH) traded at $2,511.11 on May 21, 2025, recording a modest 0.4% daily gain and 3.4% weekly growth. Despite Bitcoin reaching a new all-time high above $110,000, Ethereum lagged behind in momentum relative to prior bull cycles.

ETH’s current price represents a 59.3% rise over the past 30 days, driven largely by macro tailwinds including rising Bitcoin ETF inflows and increased institutional interest in Layer-1 blockchains.

Ethereum Price Action (ETHUSDT) | Coingecko

ETH price traded in a 24-hour range between $2,473.89 and $2,600.00, underperforming Bitcoin’s 7.5% gain over the same period.

Ethereum’s market capitalization remains firmly second at $307 billion, while its BTC pair sits at 0.02312, up 1.7% on the day, signaling a slight recovery in ETH/BTC momentum.

Notably, trading activity in the Ethereum futures market has risen, with derivative positioning pointing to potential volatility if Bitcoin’s price continues surging past $110,000. ETH has yet to reclaim key psychological resistance at $2,800, a level that coincides with pre-ETF approval highs from early 2024.

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Satoshi Nakamoto’s Bitcoin Holdings vs Elon Musk’s Net Worth

As of May 21, 2025, Bitcoin’s new peak has pushed the estimated value of Satoshi Nakamoto’s BTC holdings near parity with some of the world’s wealthiest individuals. According to blockchain analytics platform Arkham, Satoshi controls approximately 1.1 million BTC, untouched since mining in the early days of the network.

Bitcoin (BTC) price has reached an all-time high of $109,570 on Wednesday, bringing renewed attention to the holdings of Bitcoin creator, Satoshi Nakamoto.

Satoshi Nakamoto Total Bitcoin (BTC) Holdings, May, 2025 | Source: Arkham

According to Arkham Intelligence, Satoshi is estimated to hold approximately 1.1 million BTC. At current prices, this equates to a net worth of about $119.7 billion. This positions Satoshi among the wealthiest individuals globally, surpassing prominent figures like Bill Gates.

Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, has reclaimed the title of the world’s richest person, with a net worth estimated at $416 billion as of May 2025. His wealth has been boost by the performance of his companies, including the AI firm xAI and social media platform X. 

For Satoshi Nakamoto’s net worth to surpass Elon Musk’s, Bitcoin would need to reach a price where 1.1 million BTC equals more than $416 billion.

This implies a Bitcoin price of approximately $400,000. Given the current ETH/BTC ratio of 0.02312, Ethereum price would correspondingly need to exceed $7,500 to maintain its relative position against BTC. 

Several factors could drive such a surge in cryptocurrency prices. Texas has proposed a strategic reserve policy that includes Bitcoin, signaling institutional adoption.

Additionally, Bitcoin ETFs have seen inflows exceeding $6 billion over the past 30 days, indicating strong investor interest. These developments suggest a favorable environment for the ongoing BTC rally to advance further into price discovery phase. 

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When Will Satoshi Overtake Elon Musk — and What It Means for Ethereum

Based on current wallet data, Satoshi Nakamoto needs Bitcoin to surpass $378,000 to exceed Elon Musk’s net worth of $416 billion. This milestone could serve as a psychological marker for retail and institutional sentiment. Such a headline may accelerate flows into digital assets, especially Ethereum, which benefits as the next-best large-cap alternative to Bitcoin.

Using the current ETH/BTC ratio of 0.02312, Ethereum price at $378,000 BTC would translate to roughly $8,742.

ETH/BTC Price Ratio, May 21, 2025 | Source: TradingView

If ETH/BTC regains its historical average of 0.03, last seen during the 2021 and 2022 bull phases, ETH would target $11,340, nearly 350% above current levels.

Two macro catalysts further support this scenario. First, Texas’ has approved a bill for state-run crypto strategic reserve, adding government-led demand for Bitcoin, Ethereum and other top-ranked cryptocurrencies.

Second, over $6 billion in net inflows into U.S. Bitcoin ETFs over the past 30 days has signaled accelerating institutional conviction, which could spill over into Ethereum once a price base is established.

In this scenario, Ethereum becomes a relative value play for investors who believe Bitcoin has already priced in most ETF-driven gains.

With more altcoin ETF approvals anticipated on June 16, this could further intensify Ethereum’s own ETF demand, potentially driving the pioneer smart contract platform to new peaks.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current Ethereum price in 2025?

As of May 21, 2025, Ethereum is trading at $2,511.11, with a 0.4% daily gain and 3.4% weekly growth.

How high could Ethereum go if Bitcoin reaches $378,000?

If Bitcoin hits $378,000 and ETH/BTC returns to 0.03, Ethereum price could rise to around $11,340.

Will Ethereum benefit from Bitcoin ETF inflows?

Yes. Capital rotation from Bitcoin ETFs and rising institutional interest could drive Ethereum and its Layer-2s significantly higher.
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