Price Analysis

How Could Solana Price React on US Staking ETF Launch Tomorrow?

Solana price will likely react to the SOL ETF launch on July 2 with an uptrend. A symmetrical triangle pattern hints at a 47% rally to $235.
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How Could Solana Price React on US Staking ETF Launch Tomorrow?

Highlights

  • Solana price eyes massive gains this week as the first staking SOL ETF launches this week.
  • A looming symmetrical triangle breakout hints that a 47% rally to $235 may be imminent.
  • Retail interest is rising as wallets holding less than 0.1 SOL reached an all-time high.

Solana (SOL) has recorded a slight 1% decline within 24 hours to trade at $148 today, July 1. The altcoin is dropping despite reports that the first SOL staking ETF will launch in the US tomorrow. Nevertheless, the ETF news has sparked market optimism from traders, with some anticipating that the Solana price may undergo a massive bull run this week. If SOL reacts to the ETF launch, how high will the price rally? Let’s explore.

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Solana Price in Focus as First US SOL ETF Goes Live

As CoinGape recently reported, REX-Osprey will launch a spot SOL ETF this week, which will not only give investors exposure to SOL but also grant them access to staking income. This product seeks to pave the way for institutional crypto adoption that will be bullish for the Solana price.

The upcoming launch of this product has sparked the interest of top voices in the industry, including Bloomberg analysts, who forecast that a spot SOL ETF is now closer to approval than ever. Eric Balchunas notes that the launch may drive price gains, stating,

“Get ready for a potential Alt Coin ETF Summer with Solana likely leading the way.”

At the same time, James Seyffart noted that spot SOL ETF approval odds have surged to 95% alongside other altcoins like Litecoin and XRP. As these odds surge, retail traders appear to be positioning themselves for a potential Solana price rally.

Per Glassnode data, the addresses holding more than 0.1 SOL tokens have reached a fresh all-time high after surpassing 11.44 million. These small addresses are popular with trading based on the market sentiment, and if they are buying now, it shows they anticipate recovery.

Solana Wallet Balances (Source: Glassnode)

Hence, with the rising interest and a potential spark in institutional interest from the SOL staking ETF, it is possible that the Solana price will rally, and the technical structure is already supporting a bullish outlook.

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How Will SOL React?

As aforementioned, the most expected reaction in the SOL price amid growing ETF optimism is a bull run. This rally has become even more likely with the formation of a symmetrical triangle pattern, hinting at a looming breakout from consolidation.

This triangle formation sparks a bullish Solana price prediction if it can rise above the upper resistance level of $159. SOL was rejected at this price yesterday, but if a spark in buying pressure forms and it forms a decisive close above it, a 47% rally could commence to $235.

The AO histogram bars are supporting this bullish outlook as they turn green despite remaining below the mean level. This formation shows that the bearish pressure that has been keeping SOL below the $200 psychological support is losing strength, and a rally may be imminent.

SOL/USDT: 1-day Chart (Source: TradingView)

At the same time, Solana price appears to be facing strong resistance at the 50-day SMA level of $157. The price needs to cross above this short-term MA and move above the 200-day SMA of $166 to make a rally past $200 likely.

Nevertheless, a decisive close below this crucial SMA level may happen after the REX-Osprey staking SOL ETF launches in the US tomorrow, and the 47% symmetrical triangle breakout may be imminent. Hence, if Solana price reacts to this news, traders may anticipate a move above $200.

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Frequently Asked Questions

How will the Solana price react to the launch of a staking SOL ETF?

Solana price will likely rally after the ETF launches due to rising institutional interest.

Can the SOL price surpass $200 after ETF launch?

SOL price may surpass $200 after the ETF launch if it breaks out of a symmetrical triangle pattern.

Will the SEC approve a spot SOL ETF soon?

Bloomberg analysts place spot SOL ETF approval odds at 95% following the staking ETF launch.
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muthoni

Muthoni Mary is a seasoned crypto market analyst and writer with over three years of experience decoding blockchain trends, price movements, and market dynamics. She holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Commerce (Finance) from Kenyatta University, blending a solid academic foundation with a sharp eye for technical analysis and a deep understanding of on-chain data. Her work delivers clear, data-driven insights that empower investors to navigate the fast-evolving digital asset space with confidence. When she’s not analyzing the markets, Mary enjoys reading and travelling.

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Why trust CoinGape: CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights to our readers. Our journalists and analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.
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