Highlights
Shiba Inu (SHIB) price is likely to trigger a breakdown as its recent recovery falters amid weakening sentiment, a declining burn rate, and disappointing whale activity, as well as a drop in Shibarium TVL. Technicals suggest a 22% crash may be around the corner for SHIB holders.
SHIB price trades at $0.00001343, with a 24-hour volume of just $117 million. This volume is significantly lower than that of other top meme coins, such as Dogecoin’s $820 million and Pepe’s $935 million.
The daily chart shows that the Shiba Inu price bottomed at $0.00001029 in April as most cryptocurrencies plunged. It then embarked on a slow recovery, forming an ascending channel connecting its lower highs and higher highs.
SHIB recently retested the lower side of the channel and crawled back. However, there are signs that the recovery is losing steam as the Average Directional Index (ADX) has fallen to 15. The ADX is a common indicator that measures the strength of a trend, with a figure of less than 20 signaling weak strength.
Shiba Inu price remains below the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), meaning that the recovery remains far off.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a popular oscillator, has pointed downwards and moved below the neutral point at 50. Like the ADX, this is a sign that the coin is losing momentum.
SHIB price has also formed a small bearish flag pattern. This pattern comprises a vertical line and some consolidation. Therefore, there is a risk that the Shiba Inu coin price may have a strong breakdown, potentially to $0.00001030, its lowest point in April, and 22% below the current level.
On the flip side, moving above the 100-day moving average at $0.00001440 will invalidate the bearish outlook.
For a more detailed forecast for Shiba Inu price between 2025 and 2030 – Read this
Shiba Inu price may drop as closely-watched metrics disappoint:
Data shows that the burn rate has been in a downtrend for a while. The daily burn rate dropped by 54% in the last 24 hours to 18.08 million SHIB coins, valued at $240, a tiny amount for a meme coin with a market cap of over $7 billion. A falling burn rate is negative because it worsens the sentiment among investors.
Shibarium, a layer-2 network launched in 2023, has failed to gain traction among developers and investors. According to data from DeFi Llama, the total value locked has tumbled to $3.1 million, down from the year-to-date high of over $7 million.
Finally, there are increasing signs that Shiba Inu whales are capitulating. The chart below shows that these investors now hold 722.4 million SHIB coins, down from the 30-day high of 733 million. Whale dumping often worsens sentiment among retail investors.
Shiba Inu price is at a significant risk of a strong breakdown. It has highly bearish technicals, and its fundamentals are getting worse. A drop may see it move to its lowest point this year and below.
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