Price Analysis

Solana Price Prediction – Will the ETF Wave End SOL’s Multi-Week Downtrend?

Fidelity and Canary Capital launch new Solana ETFs as SOL tests a channel breakout and RSI strengthens, shaping the Solana price outlook.
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Solana Price Prediction – Will the ETF Wave End SOL’s Multi-Week Downtrend?

Highlights

  • Fidelity and Canary Capital launch new Solana ETFs, expanding structured access to SOL.
  • RSI holds above 50 as SOL approaches levels that shape the price outlook.
  • Solana price testing a channel breakout after rebounding from the $129 support zone.

The Solana price enters a key phase after today’s ETF launches reshape the market landscape. Fidelity released its FSOL ETF with a six-month fee waiver, and Canary Capital introduced its SOLC ETF on the same day. These additions raise the number of spot Solana ETFs to five, and this expansion strengthens structured access for SOL exposure. Meanwhile, the rebound from $129 supports the current structure as the SOL price moves toward tighter ranges created by recent compression.

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ETF Wave Builds A Pivotal Setup For Solana Price

The Solana price is moving through a period shaped directly by today’s ETF launches. Fidelity has introduced its Solana ETF under the ticker FSOL, and the fund begins trading with a six-month fee waiver confirmed through an SEC filing. 

Canary Capital has also launched its SOLC ETF, and these two additions expand the total number of spot Solana ETFs to five. Meanwhile, FSOL lists on NYSE Arca after gaining auto-effectiveness through an 8-A submission. 

Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas noted that Fidelity set a 0.25% management fee and will absorb staking-related costs on the first $1 billion. This competitive push mirrors the strong momentum seen with Bitwise’s BSOL, which now manages nearly $450 million and reinforces the rising institutional appetite for structured SOL products. 

The SOL price now trades inside a zone shaped by this expanding lineup, and each product strengthens access across broader investor categories. Notably, this cluster forms the most concentrated Solana ETF rollout to date. 

However, short-term confirmation still requires movement through nearby resistance that rejected earlier advances. The combined forces of new launches and large existing inflows now define the current landscape.

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Solana Tests Channel Break After A Strong Recovery Base

The SOL price is now pressing against the upper boundary of its falling channel after building a strong recovery base at $129. Price action is interacting with the dotted mid-line of the channel, and that level frequently influences break attempts in similar structures. 

Meanwhile, key zones at $145 and $170.80 continue to attract reactions, and these areas shaped several previous swings. The SOL price is showing clean structure as it approaches the channel roof, and each push adds pressure to the upper boundary. 

A move through that line opens direct space toward $189.05, and that path can then lead toward a $200 retest.

RSI now prints 50, and this reading sits above its signal line, which confirms controlled strength without sharp overextension. Specifically, the indicator shows steady upward drive that aligns with the chart.

Solana price remains above $138, and this support reinforces the long-term Solana price outlook by strengthening each attempt to challenge the channel roof. Each progression increases the breakout probability while maintaining structural clarity.

SOL/USDT 1-Day Chart (Source: TradingView)

To sum up, the Solana price now progresses through a period where chart structure aligns with rapid ETF expansion. Today’s launch of Fidelity’s FSOL ETF adds stronger distribution routes, and Canary’s SOLC ETF increases the total count to five. Meanwhile, SOL price continues to test the channel roof, and that line often defines major direction shifts. A clean break opens space toward $170 and later $200.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Why is the current RSI reading relevant to broader analysis?

The RSI at 50 signals controlled strength, supporting stability within the long-term Solana price outlook.

What structural feature defines SOL’s recent chart behavior?

Its movement inside a falling channel defines the setup, with the recent rebound establishing a stronger base at $129.

What distinguishes Fidelity’s FSOL ETF launch today?

It begins trading with a six-month fee waiver, and Fidelity covers staking expenses on the first $1 billion of assets.
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