Price Analysis

Top Reasons Bitcoin Price Could Hit $130K in 26 Days

Explore why Bitcoin price could surge to $130K in 26 days due to these top reasons and what technical analysis forecasts is next for BTC.
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Top Reasons Bitcoin Price Could Hit $130K in 26 Days

Highlights

  • Bitcoin price could hit 130K in 26 days due to Trump’s crypto-friendly policies.
  • Technical analysis also notes that BTC is primed to repeat history and kickstart a breakout rally.
  • On-chain data shows declining whale activity, signaling caution despite bullish technicals.

The recent uptick in Bitcoin (BTC) has caused altcoins to explode. Ripple’s XRP, for example, has set up a new all-time high after 16% rally on January 16. With such a bullish crypto market outlook, here are top reasons why Bitcoin price could hit $131,000 in the next 26 days. 

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Reasons Why Bitcoin Price Could Hit $130K Soon

Here are some key reasons that could push Bitcoin price to kickstart a bull rally and hit $130. 

Reason 1

President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration on January 20 is speculated to be one of the main events that could catalyze a crypto market rally. This is because many expect Trump to execute his crypto promises, which include a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and making the US the center of innovation. Many believe that Trump could also pardon Silk Road’s Ross William Ulbricht, who is imprisoned for life.

Reason 2

From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin’s rally from the January 13 low has pushed it beyond the $90K to 100K range that BTC has been consolidating for the past 65 days. This development has tilted the odds in bulls’ favor and hints at an upcoming rally.

Reason 3

The consolidation between late September 2024 and mid-October 2024 led to a similar breakout.If history repeats, then Bitcoin could consolidate above the range high of $100K for the next 11 days. Following this, an exponential rally could unfold, sending it toward the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level at $131,055. 

BTC/USDT 1-day chart
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On-chain Data Hints Investors Should Exercise Concerns

Despite the recent breakout of BTC price above the range high of $100K, the daily active addresses (DAA) metric continues to trend lower. Since the all-time high in December 2024, the DAA has produced lower highs. Currently, the metric hovers around 773,000.

Bitcoin Price vs. Daily Active Addresses
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Bitcoin Whales Transaction Count Decreases

The recent drop below $90K on January 13 attracted whales buying the dips. But overall, the transactions worth $100K or more have continued to decrease. This downtrend indicates that interest is dropping. 

BTC Price vs. Whale Transaction Count

While long-term technicals are bullish and Bitcoin price could hit $130K in 26 days, investors need to be cautious. However, the short-term outlook remains uncertain with on-chain metrics pointing to a cautious outlook.

Key BTC Support Levels If Bulls Fail

Regardless of bullish Bitcoin price predictions, investors need to keep an eye out for a scenario where this outlook fails to manifest. 

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart

A failure to stay above $100K could lead to a reentry into the range. In such a case, the key support levels to watch include $96,850, which is the highest volume traded level for the past 65 days. Beyond this, the range low at $92,800 will be key area for a potential reversal. In a worst-case scenario, Bitcoin could revisit $89,095 and $85,800 support floors.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What could drive Bitcoin to $130K in 26 days?

Factors include Trump’s crypto policies, technical breakouts, and historical price patterns suggesting a potential rally.

Why is Trump’s inauguration significant for Bitcoin?

Expectations of crypto-friendly policies, like a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, could catalyze a market rally.

What are the key support levels if Bitcoin fails to rally?

Key supports include $96,850,92,800, and $89,095, which could act as reversal points if the bullish outlook falters.
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Akash Girimath

Senior Cryptocurrency Analyst & Market Strategist Engineer-turned-analyst Akash Girimath delivers data-driven insights on cryptocurrency markets, DeFi, and blockchain technology for platforms like AMBCrypto and FXStreet. Specializing in technical analysis, on-chain analytics, and risk management, he empowers institutional investors and retail traders to navigate market volatility and regulatory shifts. A hands-on strategist, Akash merges active crypto portfolio management with research on Web3, NFTs, and tokenomics. At AMBCrypto, he led cross-functional teams to redesign content frameworks, achieving record-breaking traffic growth through scalable editorial strategies. His analyses dissect market sentiment, investment strategies, and price predictions, blending macroeconomic trends with real-world trading expertise. Known for mentoring analysts and optimizing workflows for high-impact reporting, Akash’s work is cited across global crypto publications, reaching 500k+ monthly readers. Follow his insights on YouTube, X, and LinkedIn for cutting-edge perspectives on decentralized ecosystems and crypto innovation.

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