Highlights
Bitcoin’s (BTC) lack of directional bias can be attributed to the lack of trading volume and interest as the 2024 year approaches its end. Bitcoin price today trades around $93K after crashing 14% from its ATH of $108,421.8, with investors being skeptical about what comes next. However, this article explores how January 2025 could trigger a massive uptrend for BTC prices.
Many investors believe Bitcoin will crash during President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration on January 20. This is because investors who opened trades before the elections would consider closing them, leading to a short-term correction. However, this is unlikely due to January being a historically strong month with positive returns. Furthermore, the FTX claims set to be paid out in January will serve as a capital influx and propel BTC and the broader crypto markets higher.
Sunil, an FTX creditor activist, recently quashed a fake report that FTX claims would pay out $16 billion by January 3. According to Sunil, the “distribution does not that start on January 3.” He adds that “the $16 billion” would not be distributed within 60 days.
Based on his approximation, $13 billion in cash will be distributed now, and the remaining $14 billion will be paid out in March 2025. He adds that 50% of FTX claims reserve worth $7 billion will not be distributed initially.
Regardless, this payout will be a huge capital inflow for crypto markets and could serve as the necessary tailwind to drive BTC’s price higher to a new ATH.
Michael Saylor, the CEO and co-founder of MicroStrategy, has been a huge proponent of Bitcoin. His company holds 444,262 BTC worth $41.41 billion, of which 5,262 BTCs were acquired on December 23.
Additionally, MicroStrategy announced its plan to dilute its Class A Common Stock and Preferred Stock. The proposal aims to convert 330 million Class A shares to 10.33 billion shares and 5 million preferred shares to 1.005 billion shares. Investors can assume Saylor’s plan to dilute shares is to add more BTC to their holdings.
To conclude, the three reasons mentioned above suggest that 2025 will be a good year for cryptocurrencies, especially BTC.
Let’s explore key Bitcoin price forecasts by some popular analysts and what they believe BTC will do next.
According to popular crypto analyst CryptoBirb, Bitcoin is in the optimism phase and will trigger a “vertical” rally as it anticipates an entry into the belief phase. Based on the MVRV (market value to realized value) valuations, Birb notes that “We’re stepping into 2025 with vertical post-election rallies (+977% avg gain)” and projects an all-time high of BTC beyond $250K.
Quinten, another popular analyst, compares the ongoing Bitcoin bull run with the past three cycles and hints that there is more upside before BTC forms a top.
On the other hand, veteran trader Peter Brandt notes that Bitcoin forms a head-and-shoulders setup with $78,000 as its next target.
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