Price Analysis

What’s Next for Cardano Price After 25% Weekly Decline?

Cardano price fell 31.5% over two weeks, forming an expanding channel pattern. With a bearish outlook and reduced large transactions, ADA seeks support at $0.3.
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What’s Next for Cardano Price After 25% Weekly Decline?

Highlights

  • Around 537.16 addresses holding 5.58 billion ADA, purchased at approximately $0.22, may act as a buffer against a prolonged price decline.
  • The Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests that the Cardano coin has entered the oversold territory, reducing the likelihood of a prolonged correction.
  • A broadening wedge pattern is currently shaping the near-term downtrend in Cardano price.

Cardano price plunged over 10% during Monday’s trading, teasing a bearish breakdown below the psychological $0.3 level. The intensified selling pressure, spurred by a 12% drop in the Japan index and growing recession fears, contributed to a bloodbath in the crypto market. While the bearish momentum softened during U.S. trading hours, major altcoins have yet to show signs of forming a bottom.

Also Read: JPMorgan Cites Buy-the-Dip Opportunity, Crypto Market Recovery Ahead?

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Cardano Price Hits Major Support Within Channel Pattern

The daily time frame chart shows a notable correction in Cardano price over the past two weeks. Amid the market correction, the ADA price fell from $0.45 to $0.308, registering a loss of 31.5%, while the market cap plummeted to $11.162.

A deeper technical chart analysis revealed that this downfall contributed to the formation of an expanding channel pattern. The coin price resonating between two diverging trendlines typically indicates market uncertainty and no clear initiation from buyers or sellers.

If the broader market selling persists, the ADA price could tease a bearish breakdown below the lower trendline at $0.28. If successful, the selling pressure will accelerate, plunging the altcoin 15% down to seek support at $0.24.

ADA/USDT – 1d Chart

Additionally, the Global In/Out of the Money (GIOM) metric for Cardano presents a rather bleak outlook. Currently, 28.1 billion ADA tokens are ‘out of the money’ (bought at prices higher than the current market price and thus at a loss), compared to only 5.7 billion tokens that are ‘in the money’ (purchased at lower prices and currently profitable). This imbalance indicates a less stable investor base, potentially leading to heightened susceptibility to panic selling.

Also Read: Bitcoin ETF: Europe’s Capula Management Discloses $500 Mln Holding

In/Out of the Money | Intotheblock

Moreover, the number of large transactions has significantly decreased since early July, dropping from 6.5k to 3.02k, registering a 56% decline. This substantial reduction in high-volume trades could indicate waning interest among major investors or a shift towards a more cautious approach in the market.

Number of Large Transactions | Intotheblock

However, Cardano price currently trades at $0.309 and seeks support at the lower trendline, which previously triggered a 45% rally. A long-wick rejection candle today highlights the presence of demand pressure and potential support for bottom formation.

The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped sharply to an oversold position at 26%, potentially enticing dip buyers and setting the stage for a 30% rally to $0.41.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Global In/Out of the Money (GIOM) metric indicate for Cardano?

The GIOM metric shows the distribution of ADA tokens based on their current profitability. Tokens 'in the money' are those bought at prices lower than the current market price, while 'out of the money' tokens were purchased at higher prices and are currently at a loss.

What does "number of large transactions" mean in crypto market?

The "number of large transactions" refers to the volume of significant trades involving substantial amounts of a cryptocurrency.

What is a broadening wedge pattern?

A: A broadening wedge pattern is a technical chart formation characterized by two diverging trendlines. This pattern indicates increasing volatility and market indecision.
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Sahil Mahadik

Sahil is a dedicated full-time trader with over three years of experience in the financial markets. Armed with a strong grasp of technical analysis, he keeps a vigilant eye on the daily price movements of top assets and indices. Drawn by his fascination with financial instruments, Sahil enthusiastically embraced the emerging realm of cryptocurrency, where he continues to explore opportunities driven by his passion for trading

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Why trust CoinGape: CoinGape has covered the cryptocurrency industry since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights to our readers. Our journalists and analysts bring years of experience in market analysis and blockchain technology to ensure factual accuracy and balanced reporting. By following our Editorial Policy, our writers verify every source, fact-check each story, rely on reputable sources, and attribute quotes and media correctly. We also follow a rigorous Review Methodology when evaluating exchanges and tools. From emerging blockchain projects and coin launches to industry events and technical developments, we cover all facets of the digital asset space with unwavering commitment to timely, relevant information.
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