Highlights
Shiba Inu (SHIB) has dropped by 10% in just one month, as meme coin interest fades due to Bitcoin’s growing dominance, which has seen most traders chase gains with the top coin. As of July 4, 2025, the Shiba Inu price was trading at $0.0000116 with a $6.84 billion market cap. Several factors explain why this dog-themed meme token keeps falling and why this downtrend may continue.
The five main reasons that have made the SHIB price drop by 11% in one month include the following:
The top reason why the Shiba Inu price is falling is a lack of interest from whale wallets that often influence price movements. These addresses have gone quiet, with IntoTheBlock data showing that large transactions of more than $100,000 are currently at 2.46 trillion, which is 12 times lower than the 24 trillion that was recorded in June.
When whales are not active, the Shiba Inu price prediction for July becomes negative, because there is no demand from traders that would buy a large volume of tokens.
The other reason is a falling TVL on the Shibarium network. According to DeFiLlama data, this TVL was at $6.44 million in December 2024, and since then, it has dropped to $1.93 million. Whenever this happens, it is bound to have a negative implication on the Shiba Inu price. Besides, the falling activity has also negatively affected the SHIB burn rate.
Top meme coins, including Shiba Inu, perform based on how high the retail demand is, and currently, it is notably low. In fact, Santiment shows that daily addresses in the last seven days have fallen to 2,902, which is the lowest in more than one year. If there are no retail traders interested in buying SHIB now, the price faces uncertainty, and this explains why it has been falling.
The drop in Shiba Inu price is not unique to this coin alone, because most meme coins are also losing their value. In just 30 days, the total market cap of meme coins has dropped from $64 billion to $54 billion per CoinMarketCap data. Losing that much value within a short time shows that traders are not willing to buy meme tokens, and they could be moving to Bitcoin, as Bitwise predicts BTC may hit $200,000.
Data from Coinglass shows that traders in the futures market are no longer willing to open new positions on the Shiba Inu meme token. Whenever this happens, it indicates that those who open long and short positions are not willing to bet on how the SHIB price will perform in the future. With more than $130 million lost in open interest in less than two months, the future for this dog-themed token remains bleak.
The Shiba Inu price has formed one of the most typical bearish chart patterns, which is a rounded top. This shows that the fall in price has been gradual, and with the neckline support level of $0.00001058 hanging by a thread, SHIB is facing a 40% decline to $0.00000634.
This negative outlook on how much further the SHIB price could drop after this pattern formed is also seen in the RSI. This indicator is still below the mean level of 50, indicating that the momentum has been bearish for more than one month.
The only way that Shiba Inu price can defy the bearish odds in this bearish chart pattern is if it can rise above the rounding top’s highest price of $0.0000176. There could be a glimmer of hope for traders, considering that the AO histograms are turning green, which is a sign that bears may be losing strength, and a SHIB breakout rally may happen.
To conclude, the Shiba Inu price is falling due to many reasons, including falling network activity, a lack of interest in meme coins, and weak demand from retail, whale, and futures traders. If this continues, a 40% crash to $0.00000634 will likely happen.
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